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ASML AI Trading Tournament — Technical Analysis Section

Rules

This technical view uses the latest completed D1 close available for the instrument. ChatGPT is free to interpret the chart structure, choose technical methods and select the indicators it considers relevant for the setup.

The model may define stop loss and take profit levels at its discretion and may use trailing stop logic when the structure supports it. Limit orders are not allowed; decisions are based on the current available market snapshot.

PnL / gpt4o / stock

ASML performance

pnl_all.json
Layer Balance Equity Last run Points
AT -2.721381 -2.721381 20260612T075026Z 5
Macro — — — 0
Combo — — — 0
0.4651 -1.1369 -2.7389 -4.3409 06-08 06-12
AT Balance -2.721381 AT Equity -2.721381
Snapshot

2026-06-12 07:50 UTC

Scenario chart 60 candles 60 vol
1955.93 1702.51 1449.10 1195.68 VOL Latest Close 1899.48 Support Level 1705.37 Resistance Level 1779.29 LATEST 1899.48 03-18 03-27 04-08 04-17 04-28 05-07 05-18 05-28 06-08 06-11 A B C D V1 V2
Scenario evidence 6 markers
A breakout attempt 2026-06-02 / price_scenario / upside

Price attempted to break above resistance with a strong bullish candle.

Evidence The candle closed near its high with a strong body, indicating bullish conviction.

B distribution high 2026-06-04 / price_scenario / downside

Price reached a new high but closed below the opening price, indicating selling pressure.

Evidence The candle had a long upper wick and closed below the open, suggesting a rejection.

C breakdown candle 2026-06-05 / price_scenario / downside

Price sharply reversed and closed near the low, confirming the rejection.

Evidence The candle had a large bearish body and closed below the previous day's low.

D breakout candle 2026-06-11 / price_scenario / upside

Price broke above previous highs with strong bullish conviction.

Evidence The candle closed near its high with a strong body and volume significantly above average.

V1 climax volume 2026-06-05 / volume_scenario / downside

High volume on the breakdown day indicates strong selling pressure.

Evidence Volume was significantly above the 20-day and 60-day averages.

V2 breakout volume 2026-06-11 / volume_scenario / upside

High volume on the breakout day confirms strong buying interest.

Evidence Volume was significantly above the 20-day and 60-day averages.

Trade print 7 candles
SL 1757.47 TP 1641.74 OPEN SHORT 1734.19 CURRENT 1899.48 CLOSE 1757.47 06-03 06-04 06-05 06-08 06-09 06-10 06-11 OPEN NOW SL
AUTO EXIT · STOP LOSS

Auto-exit short position by stop_loss.

Price 1757.47
PnL -1.34%
Side SHORT
Decision

AUTO EXIT · STOP LOSS

Auto-exit short position by stop_loss.

Reason

The open short position was mechanically closed because stop_loss was reached on the current candle. Mechanical SL/TP execution has priority, so this iteration ends after the close and no new position is opened until the next iteration.

Evidence
  • Mechanical exit reason: stop_loss.
  • Entry price: 1734.19.
  • Exit price: 1757.47.
  • Closed PnL percent: -1.342413.
Next watch

Wait for the next iteration to reassess the market from a flat state.

Snapshot

2026-06-11 06:23 UTC

Scenario chart 60 candles 60 vol
1877.75 1652.32 1426.90 1201.47 VOL Latest Close 1734.19 Support Level 1641.74 Resistance Level 1705.37 ENTRY 1734.19 LATEST 1734.19 SL 1757.47 TP 1641.74 03-17 03-26 04-07 04-16 04-27 05-06 05-15 05-27 06-05 06-10 A B C D E V1 V2
Scenario evidence 7 markers
A breakout attempt 2026-06-02 / price_scenario / upside

Price attempted to break above resistance with a strong bullish candle.

Evidence The candle closed near its high with a strong body, indicating bullish conviction.

B distribution high 2026-06-04 / price_scenario / downside

Price reached a new high but closed below the opening price, indicating selling pressure.

Evidence The candle had a long upper wick and closed below the open, suggesting a rejection.

C breakdown candle 2026-06-05 / price_scenario / downside

Price sharply reversed and closed near the low, confirming the rejection.

Evidence The candle had a large bearish body and closed below the previous day's low.

D indecision candle 2026-06-09 / price_scenario / mixed

The latest candle shows indecision with a long lower wick, suggesting absorption of selling pressure.

Evidence The candle has a small body with a long lower wick, closing above VWAP.

E rejection candle 2026-06-10 / price_scenario / downside

Price faced rejection at the resistance level and closed below the open.

Evidence The candle has a long upper wick and closed below the VWAP, indicating selling pressure.

V1 climax volume 2026-06-05 / volume_scenario / downside

High volume on the breakdown day indicates strong selling pressure.

Evidence Volume was significantly above the 20-day and 60-day averages.

V2 absorption volume 2026-06-09 / volume_scenario / mixed

High volume with indecision suggests absorption of selling pressure.

Evidence Volume was above average, indicating active participation.

Trade print 6 candles
SL 1757.47 TP 1641.74 OPEN SHORT 1734.19 CURRENT 1734.19 06-03 06-04 06-05 06-08 06-09 06-10 OPEN NOW
OPEN SHORT

Open a short position due to rejection at resistance and strong selling pressure.

Price 1705.37
PnL +2.50%
Side SHORT
Decision

OPEN SHORT

Open a short position due to rejection at resistance and strong selling pressure.

Reason

The latest candle shows a rejection at the resistance level with a long upper wick, indicating strong selling pressure. This aligns with the failed breakout regime, suggesting further downside potential.

Evidence
  • The latest candle (2026-06-10) shows a rejection at resistance with a long upper wick, closing below VWAP.
  • The rejection candle confirms strong selling pressure, aligning with the failed breakout regime.
  • The resistance zone between 1705.37 and 1779.285 has been a point of rejection.
Next watch

Monitor price action around the resistance level at 1705.37 for potential invalidation of the short thesis.

Snapshot

2026-06-10 12:14 UTC

Scenario chart 60 candles 60 vol
1877.75 1652.32 1426.90 1201.47 VOL Latest Close 1777.77 Support Level 1641.74 Resistance Level 1705.37 LATEST 1777.77 03-16 03-25 04-06 04-15 04-24 05-05 05-14 05-26 06-04 06-09 A B C D E V1 V2
Scenario evidence 7 markers
A breakout candle 2026-06-02 / price_scenario / upside

Price broke above the previous resistance with a strong bullish candle.

Evidence The candle closed near its high with a strong body, indicating bullish conviction.

B distribution high 2026-06-04 / price_scenario / downside

Price reached a new high but closed below the opening price, indicating selling pressure.

Evidence The candle had a long upper wick and closed below the open, suggesting a rejection.

C breakdown candle 2026-06-05 / price_scenario / downside

Price sharply reversed and closed near the low, confirming the rejection.

Evidence The candle had a large bearish body and closed below the previous day's low.

D retest candle 2026-06-08 / price_scenario / mixed

Price is attempting to reclaim the previous breakout level.

Evidence The candle closed above its open with a moderate body, indicating potential support.

E indecision candle 2026-06-09 / price_scenario / mixed

The latest candle shows indecision with a long lower wick, suggesting absorption of selling pressure.

Evidence The candle has a small body with a long lower wick, closing above VWAP.

V1 climax volume 2026-06-05 / volume_scenario / downside

High volume on the breakdown day indicates strong selling pressure.

Evidence Volume was significantly above the 20-day and 60-day averages.

V2 retest volume 2026-06-08 / volume_scenario / mixed

Volume on the retest day is above average, indicating active participation.

Evidence Volume was above the 20-day average, suggesting interest at this level.

Trade print 7 candles
SL 1705.37 TP 1580.00 OPEN SHORT 1749.04 CURRENT 1777.77 CLOSE 1705.37 06-01 06-02 06-03 06-04 06-05 06-08 06-09 OPEN NOW SL
AUTO EXIT · STOP LOSS

Auto-exit short position by stop_loss.

Price 1705.37
PnL +2.50%
Side SHORT
Decision

AUTO EXIT · STOP LOSS

Auto-exit short position by stop_loss.

Reason

The open short position was mechanically closed because stop_loss was reached on the current candle. Mechanical SL/TP execution has priority, so this iteration ends after the close and no new position is opened until the next iteration.

Evidence
  • Mechanical exit reason: stop_loss.
  • Entry price: 1749.04.
  • Exit price: 1705.37.
  • Closed PnL percent: 2.496798.
Next watch

Wait for the next iteration to reassess the market from a flat state.

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