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Finance / AI Trading Tournament

ARM AI Trading Tournament — Technical Analysis Section

Rules

This technical view uses the latest completed D1 close available for the instrument. ChatGPT is free to interpret the chart structure, choose technical methods and select the indicators it considers relevant for the setup.

The model may define stop loss and take profit levels at its discretion and may use trailing stop logic when the structure supports it. Limit orders are not allowed; decisions are based on the current available market snapshot.

PnL / gpt4o / stock

ARM performance

pnl_all.json
Layer Balance Equity Last run Points
AT -9.750817 -9.750817 20260612T075026Z 5
Macro — — — 0
Combo — — — 0
2.9272 -1.7516 -6.4304 -11.1092 06-08 06-12
AT Balance -9.750817 AT Equity -9.750817
Snapshot

2026-06-12 07:50 UTC

Scenario chart 60 candles 60 vol
452.28 334.93 217.57 100.22 VOL latest 342.23 Recent Low 298.38 Recent High 362.57 LATEST 342.23 03-18 03-27 04-08 04-17 04-28 05-07 05-18 05-28 06-08 06-11 A B C V1 V2
Scenario evidence 5 markers
A failed breakout high 2026-06-02 / price_scenario / downside

Price reached a high of 427.99 but failed to sustain above, indicating a failed breakout.

Evidence The candle on 2026-06-02 shows a long upper wick, suggesting rejection at higher levels.

B swing low 2026-06-09 / price_scenario / upside

Price formed a swing low at 298.38, indicating potential support.

Evidence The candle on 2026-06-09 has a significant lower wick, indicating buying interest at lower levels.

C breakout retest 2026-06-11 / price_scenario / upside

Price is attempting to reclaim previous highs after a sharp recovery.

Evidence The latest candle on 2026-06-11 shows a strong bullish close above the VWAP.

V1 climax volume 2026-06-01 / volume_scenario / mixed

High volume on 2026-06-01 suggests a potential buying climax.

Evidence Volume was significantly above the 20-day average, indicating strong participation.

V2 breakdown volume 2026-06-05 / volume_scenario / downside

Increased volume on 2026-06-05 confirms the breakdown.

Evidence Volume is above the 20-day average, supporting the bearish move.

Trade print 7 candles
SL 362.57 TP 298.38 OPEN SHORT 307.43 CURRENT 342.23 CLOSE 342.23 06-03 06-04 06-05 06-08 06-09 06-10 06-11 OPEN NOW CLOSE
CLOSE SHORT · LLM CLOSE SHORT

Close the short position due to strong bullish momentum and a breakout retest regime.

Price 342.23
PnL -11.32%
Side SHORT
Decision

CLOSE SHORT · LLM CLOSE SHORT

Close the short position due to strong bullish momentum and a breakout retest regime.

Reason

The latest candle shows strong bullish momentum with a close above VWAP, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment. The price is attempting to reclaim previous highs, which invalidates the bearish thesis.

Evidence
  • The latest candle shows strong bullish momentum with a close above VWAP.
  • Price is attempting to reclaim previous highs after a sharp recovery.
Next watch

Monitor if price sustains above 298.38 and challenges the resistance at 362.575 for potential upside.

Snapshot

2026-06-11 06:23 UTC

Scenario chart 60 candles 60 vol
452.28 334.93 217.57 100.22 VOL latest 307.43 Recent Low 298.38 Recent High 362.57 ENTRY 307.43 LATEST 307.43 SL 362.57 TP 298.38 03-17 03-26 04-07 04-16 04-27 05-06 05-15 05-27 06-05 06-10 A B C D V1 V2
Scenario evidence 6 markers
A failed breakout high 2026-06-02 / price_scenario / downside

Price reached a high of 427.99 but failed to sustain above, indicating a failed breakout.

Evidence The candle on 2026-06-02 shows a long upper wick, suggesting rejection at higher levels.

B breakdown candle 2026-06-05 / price_scenario / downside

The candle on 2026-06-05 is a bearish conviction candle, closing near its low.

Evidence The close is below the VWAP and the body is large, indicating strong selling.

C attempted recovery 2026-06-09 / price_scenario / mixed

The candle shows an attempt to recover after a sharp decline, closing above its VWAP.

Evidence The candle has a significant lower wick, indicating buying interest at lower levels.

D upper wick rejection 2026-06-10 / price_scenario / downside

The latest candle shows rejection from higher levels with a long upper wick.

Evidence The candle closed below its VWAP, indicating selling pressure.

V1 climax volume 2026-06-01 / volume_scenario / mixed

High volume on 2026-06-01 suggests a potential buying climax.

Evidence Volume was significantly above the 20-day average, indicating strong participation.

V2 breakdown volume 2026-06-05 / volume_scenario / downside

Increased volume on 2026-06-05 confirms the breakdown.

Evidence Volume is above the 20-day average, supporting the bearish move.

Trade print 6 candles
SL 362.57 TP 298.38 OPEN SHORT 307.43 CURRENT 307.43 06-03 06-04 06-05 06-08 06-09 06-10 OPEN NOW
OPEN SHORT

Open a short position based on recent price rejection and selling pressure.

Price 337.55
PnL +1.57%
Side SHORT
Decision

OPEN SHORT

Open a short position based on recent price rejection and selling pressure.

Reason

The latest candle shows a rejection from higher levels with a long upper wick, indicating selling pressure. The price closed below its VWAP, suggesting a bearish sentiment. The market is in a failed breakdown regime, and the recent price action supports further downside potential if the recent low is breached.

Evidence
  • The latest candle shows rejection from higher levels with a long upper wick.
  • The price closed below its VWAP, indicating selling pressure.
  • The market is in a failed breakdown regime, attempting to stabilize after a sharp decline.
Next watch

Monitor if price breaches the recent low of 298.38 for further downside confirmation.

Snapshot

2026-06-10 12:14 UTC

Scenario chart 60 candles 60 vol
452.77 333.05 213.33 93.61 VOL latest 324.86 Recent Low 298.38 Recent High 362.57 LATEST 324.86 03-16 03-25 04-06 04-15 04-24 05-05 05-14 05-26 06-04 06-09 A B C V1 V2
Scenario evidence 5 markers
A failed breakout high 2026-06-02 / price_scenario / downside

Price reached a high of 427.99 but failed to sustain above, indicating a failed breakout.

Evidence The candle on 2026-06-02 shows a long upper wick, suggesting rejection at higher levels.

B breakdown candle 2026-06-05 / price_scenario / downside

The candle on 2026-06-05 is a bearish conviction candle, closing near its low.

Evidence The close is below the VWAP and the body is large, indicating strong selling.

C attempted recovery 2026-06-09 / price_scenario / mixed

The latest candle shows an attempt to recover after a sharp decline, closing above its VWAP.

Evidence The candle has a significant lower wick, indicating buying interest at lower levels.

V1 climax volume 2026-06-01 / volume_scenario / mixed

High volume on 2026-06-01 suggests a potential buying climax.

Evidence Volume was significantly above the 20-day average, indicating strong participation.

V2 breakdown volume 2026-06-05 / volume_scenario / downside

Increased volume on 2026-06-05 confirms the breakdown.

Evidence Volume is above the 20-day average, supporting the bearish move.

Trade print 8 candles
SL 373.74 TP 337.55 OPEN SHORT 342.93 CURRENT 324.86 CLOSE 337.55 05-29 06-01 06-02 06-03 06-04 06-05 06-08 06-09 OPEN NOW TP
AUTO EXIT · TAKE PROFIT

Auto-exit short position by take_profit.

Price 337.55
PnL +1.57%
Side SHORT
Decision

AUTO EXIT · TAKE PROFIT

Auto-exit short position by take_profit.

Reason

The open short position was mechanically closed because take_profit was reached on the current candle. Mechanical SL/TP execution has priority, so this iteration ends after the close and no new position is opened until the next iteration.

Evidence
  • Mechanical exit reason: take_profit.
  • Entry price: 342.93.
  • Exit price: 337.55.
  • Closed PnL percent: 1.568833.
Next watch

Wait for the next iteration to reassess the market from a flat state.

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