Finance / Investor-S-Business-Daily
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-05-19
OPEN SOURCECHANNELInvestor's Business Daily
Want To Win Big In Prediction Markets? Here's What You Should Know.
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Want To Win Big In Prediction Markets? Here's What You Should Know.
An account on Polly Market successfully placed 17 out of 19 bets on the Bad Bunny halftime show, resulting in earnings of nearly $17,000.
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- An account on Polly Market successfully placed 17 out of 19 bets on the Bad Bunny halftime show, resulting in earnings of nearly $17,000.
- The lack of established rules on insider trading in prediction markets creates ambiguity about who qualifies as an insider.
- Prediction markets such as Colchee and Polly Market are increasingly popular, enabling users to trade on various events including elections and interest rates.
- A Gen Z trader asserts that prediction markets offer a real-time pulse on events, potentially providing more accurate forecasts than traditional polls.
- Corey Clipston cautions that regular users often compete against large institutional groups that leverage algorithms and AI, capturing a significant share of the profits.
- Approximately 70% of Polly Market traders reportedly lose money, indicating that many participants are involved in a zero-sum game.
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- Fishmail Green, a partner at Bachner Law, notes that controlling insider information is challenging, as those with superior information tend to profit the most.
- Colchie intends to prohibit athletes, coaches, and officials from betting on their respective sports, as well as political candidates from trading on their own campaigns, to mitigate insider trading risks.
- Federal prosecutors charged a US soldier with insider trading linked to prediction markets, alleging he used classified information to increase $33,000 to over $400,000 in profits.
- Kalshi's valuation skyrocketed to $22 billion from $2 billion within a year, reflecting substantial interest in prediction markets, which now account for over 90 percent of US prediction market activity.
- The current administration seems to support prediction markets like Polly Market and Kalshi, as the classification of these platforms as either investments or gambling is becoming increasingly significant.
- Our interpretation: The rapid growth and regulatory scrutiny of prediction markets suggest a potential shift in how these platforms are perceived, which could impact investor behavior and market dynamics.
INSTRUMENTS
SP500
The discussion on prediction markets and insider trading reflects broader market dynamics.
BRENT
Geopolitical wagers on prediction markets may affect oil prices.
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- The company has excluded certain event contracts, including mention markets, where users bet on potential statements made during speeches or events.
- JP Morgan has advised its employees to limit their participation in prediction markets associated with the bank, as CEO Jamie Dimon has characterized these markets as largely similar to gambling.
- The prediction market industry is expanding at a pace that outstrips the development of its regulatory framework, with its future size relative to the stock market potentially dependent on forthcoming regulations.
- There is a strong incentive within the finance and gambling sectors to promote trading on a diverse range of events, including those that may not yield productive outcomes.
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-05-19
OPEN SOURCECHANNELInvestor's Business Daily
Stocks Fall But AI Leaders Try To Fight; Micron, Astera Labs, Amazon In Focus | Stock Market Today
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Stocks Fall But AI Leaders Try To Fight; Micron, Astera Labs, Amazon In Focus | Stock Market Today
Stocks are experiencing a decline as the ongoing power trend pullback persists, with leading AI stocks making attempts to recover.
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- Stocks are experiencing a decline as the ongoing power trend pullback persists, with leading AI stocks making attempts to recover.
- The NASDAQ index has decreased by 0.8%, while small-cap stocks have faced the most significant losses, dropping over 1%.
- The S&P 500 has fallen by 0.7%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average is down approximately 0.6% for the day.
- The rise in the 10-year treasury yield is contributing to the weakness observed in small-cap stocks.
- Senior market strategist Mike Webster indicates that a typical pullback in this power trend is expected to last between two and a half to three and a half trading days.
- Currently, the NASDAQ is positioned 1.8% below the 21-day moving average, a critical benchmark for assessing market performance.
- Our interpretation: The market is in a delicate phase where a sustained pullback could signal a need for strategic adjustments, particularly if the NASDAQ fails to recover towards the 21-day line.
INSTRUMENTS
MU
Micron Technology is directly discussed as part of the market analysis.
AMZN
Amazon is mentioned in the context of leading AI stocks attempting to recover.
NASDAQ100
The NASDAQ index is referenced as part of the market performance discussion.
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- Tomorrow's market reaction is expected to be significantly influenced by Nvidia's earnings report, which is crucial for the S&P and Nasdaq.
- Past quarters have shown Nvidia struggling to meet high investor expectations, despite the current renewed AI hype cycle.
- The 10-year treasury yield has reached its highest level since February 2025, indicating increased borrowing costs for companies and consumers.
- A material breach of the 21-day moving average could raise concerns about the market's stability.
- Pullbacks are normal in a power trend and can create buying opportunities unless there is a significant breach of key levels.
- Our interpretation: The upcoming Nvidia earnings report represents a critical inflection point for market sentiment, as its performance could influence broader tech valuations and investor confidence, particularly in the context of rising treasury yields that are increasing borrowing costs and potentially dampening growth expectations.
INSTRUMENTS
NVDA
Nvidia's earnings report is directly discussed and is crucial for market sentiment.
NASDAQ100
The Nasdaq is influenced by Nvidia's performance and broader tech market dynamics.
SP500
The S&P is mentioned as being affected by Nvidia's earnings.
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- The software sector, represented by IGV, experienced a downside reversal but has shown some improvement since early April.
- The chip sector, indicated by SMH, had a significant run but closed below the 10-day line, suggesting a potential profit-taking area.
- The Dow found support at the 21-day line, but it is lagging compared to growth areas, which could be concerning if it were to take off.
- The equal weight S&P 500 ETF, RSP, is below the 21-day line, indicating that average S&P 500 stocks are not breaking out despite being near highs.
- While some mega-cap stocks like Google, Meta, and Amazon were down slightly, the QQQE ETF shows underlying strength, remaining just below the 10-day line.
- Our interpretation: The current pullback in the market could create new buying opportunities as many leaders have been extended, suggesting a potential for re-entry at more favorable levels.
INSTRUMENTS
MU
Micron is directly discussed in the context of the chip sector's performance.
AMZN
Amazon is included in the discussion of mega-cap stocks.
GOOGL
Google is mentioned as part of the mega-cap stocks showing slight declines.
META
Meta is mentioned alongside other mega-cap stocks.
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- Micron's recent upside reversal follows a downside reversal from the previous session, indicating potential volatility.
- The importance of Nvidia's upcoming earnings report is emphasized, as it could have a ripple effect on AI stocks, including Micron.
- Astera Labs rose over 13% and cleared prior resistance, suggesting a strong move out of its double bottom base.
- Astera Labs' positive performance was likely influenced by favorable comments made during a conference, contributing to the stock's momentum.
- Our interpretation: The potential volatility surrounding Nvidia's earnings could create a ripple effect across the semiconductor sector, impacting stocks like Micron and Astera Labs. If Nvidia reports strong demand, it may bolster investor confidence in AI-related stocks, while any negative news could lead to a reassessment of valuations in the sector.
INSTRUMENTS
MU
Micron is directly discussed in the context of potential volatility due to Nvidia's earnings.
NVDA
Nvidia's earnings report is highlighted as a key factor affecting the semiconductor sector.
ASX200
The semiconductor sector's volatility may affect broader market indices.
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- Astera Labs surged 13% despite a declining market, showcasing strong investor interest and volatility.
- Key resistance levels for Astera Labs are identified at 250 and the prior high of 262.90.
- Amazon's ATR stands at 2.6%, with a 2% decline on the day, although it closed above its lows, indicating some support.
- The anticipated setup from the 21-day line for Amazon did not produce the expected bounce, suggesting potential challenges ahead.
- Nvidia's upcoming earnings are crucial for Amazon's performance, particularly due to its in-house chips developed in partnership with Marvell.
- Our interpretation: The volatility in stocks like Astera Labs and Amazon reflects broader market uncertainty, where strong individual performances may not be sustainable if macroeconomic factors, such as Nvidia's earnings and supply chain dynamics, introduce new risks that could affect investor sentiment and stock valuations.
INSTRUMENTS
AMZN
Amazon's performance and volatility are directly discussed.
NVDA
Nvidia's earnings are crucial for Amazon's performance.
MRVL
Marvell's partnership with Nvidia is relevant to the discussion.
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-05-18
OPEN SOURCECHANNELInvestor's Business Daily
Leaders Punished Again As Oil Rises; Valero, Noble, TechnicFMC In Focus | Stock Market Today
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Leaders Punished Again As Oil Rises; Valero, Noble, TechnicFMC In Focus | Stock Market Today
It was a challenging day for growth stocks, while energy stocks showed strong performance.
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- It was a challenging day for growth stocks, while energy stocks showed strong performance.
- Justin Neilsen identified Valero Energy (VLO), Noble Corp (NE), and TechnicFMC (FTI) as key stocks to monitor due to the focus on oil.
- The Nasdaq composite declined by half a percent, testing the 10-day moving average, indicating weakness in growth stocks.
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average outperformed with a rise of three-tenths of a percent, maintaining its position above the 21-day moving average.
- The S&P 500 remained stable, down less than one-tenth of one percent, as oil and gas stocks contributed positively.
- The Russell 2000 index fell below the 21-day moving average, reflecting greater pressure compared to other indexes.
- Our interpretation: The current market dynamics suggest a bifurcation where energy stocks are benefiting from rising oil prices, while growth stocks face profit-taking pressure, indicating a potential shift in investor sentiment towards sectors that can withstand inflationary pressures.
INSTRUMENTS
WTI
The discussion centers around rising oil prices impacting energy stocks.
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- The SMH ETF, representing chip stocks, has demonstrated notable strength, indicating a robust movement in the semiconductor sector.
- The IGV ETF, which tracks software stocks, has shown signs of recovery, particularly in the computer software security segment, which was highlighted as a strong area today.
- Energy stocks are performing well, while some previously favored sectors are experiencing brief rotations in market interest.
- Salesforce is attempting to establish a bottom near its lows, similar to the IGV ETF, which is also near its lows but is trying to surpass its 50-day moving average.
- Recent geopolitical tensions regarding Iran may influence oil prices and market stability, with discussions about postponing military actions that could affect oil supply.
- Our interpretation: The ongoing geopolitical tensions related to Iran could lead to increased volatility in oil prices, impacting inflation expectations and energy equities, which may create challenges for market navigation.
INSTRUMENTS
WTI
Geopolitical tensions regarding Iran are likely to impact oil prices.
BRENT
Similar to WTI, Brent prices are also influenced by geopolitical factors.
SP500
Market stability concerns may affect broader equity indices.
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- Valero Energy (VLO) is demonstrating strong earnings growth, with the last quarter reporting $4.22, despite weaker revenue growth.
- Valero's technical action is notable, as it is trending above its 50-day moving average line, indicating a classic breakout.
- Drillers, including Noble (NE), are currently ranked as the number two group in six-month performance, which is unexpected given their recent activity.
- While Noble lacks strong fundamentals, it is benefiting from a robust group performance and is receiving support at the 50-day moving average line.
- The refining industry group is performing well, ranking 14 out of 145, reflecting broad-based strength in the oil and gas sector.
- Our interpretation: The strong performance of oil and gas stocks, particularly refiners and drillers, suggests a favorable environment for energy equities, potentially driven by rising oil prices and sector rotation.
INSTRUMENTS
WTI
Rising oil prices are indicated as a driver for energy equities.
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- Noble Corporation has demonstrated strong price performance, rebounding from the 50-day moving average line and nearing all-time highs.
- Despite declining revenue growth, earnings for Noble are projected to increase significantly in 2026 and 2027.
- Technip FMC is trending positively with a strong EPS rating of 97 and reported earnings growth of 94% in the last quarter.
- Technip FMC has shown strong relative strength compared to other oil stocks, indicating resilience in a volatile sector.
- The oil and gas sector is characterized by cyclical growth, leading to potential volatility, particularly for companies like Noble.
- Our interpretation: The current strength in the oil and gas sector, particularly in drilling and refining, suggests that geopolitical events, such as tensions in Venezuela and Iran, are influencing price movements and could lead to increased volatility in energy equities.
INSTRUMENTS
WTI
The discussion on oil price movements due to geopolitical tensions directly impacts crude oil prices.
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- Nvidia is scheduled to report earnings on Wednesday, making it a key stock to watch.
- Analog Devices will also report earnings on the same day as Nvidia and is currently holding support at the 10-day moving average.
- Walmart is set to report later in the week and continues to exhibit relative strength.
- Zoom Communications has shown technical strength with a recent breakout from a cup with handle base and is currently testing the 21-day line.
- A webinar featuring Ali Quorum and Ed Carson will focus on using the power trend for trading.
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-05-18
OPEN SOURCECHANNELInvestor's Business Daily
The REBAR Method For Managing Risk And Controlling Emotions
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The REBAR Method For Managing Risk And Controlling Emotions
Rebar, or review estimated balance at risk, is calculated daily after market close by adjusting stop losses for each portfolio position.
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- Rebar, or review estimated balance at risk, is calculated daily after market close by adjusting stop losses for each portfolio position.
- Understanding the maximum downside of the portfolio if all stop losses are triggered helps traders remain grounded and avoid panic during market fluctuations.
- A high rebar number indicates that stocks are becoming extended, suggesting it may be wise to sell some positions and trim into strength.
- Traders wait for the close of the day before making decisions on profitable stocks, using trailing moving averages to guide stop losses.
- The speakers caution against panic selling, sharing experiences of selling everything during downturns, only to see stocks recover the next day.
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- When stocks are extended, selling into strength can help mitigate potential pullbacks.
- The average true range (ATR) of a stock affects stop placement, with some stocks potentially needing a 40% pullback to reach the 50-day moving average.
- Understanding personal risk tolerance is crucial, as it influences how much one is willing to give back on a position.
- Holding stocks to the 50-day moving average can be particularly challenging when the stock is extended.
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-05-15
OPEN SOURCECHANNELInvestor's Business Daily
Nasdaq Backs Off Highs, But Focus On This; PANW, SEDG, STRL In Focus | Stock Market Today
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Nasdaq Backs Off Highs, But Focus On This; PANW, SEDG, STRL In Focus | Stock Market Today
The NASDAQ declined by 1.5%, while the Russell index, representing small caps, fell by 2.4%, indicating a significant market downturn.
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- The NASDAQ declined by 1.5%, while the Russell index, representing small caps, fell by 2.4%, indicating a significant market downturn.
- Despite the losses, the overall market trend remains strong, with key support levels intact, suggesting that pullbacks are a normal occurrence.
- Concerns about potential AI bubbles reflect market uncertainty, drawing parallels to historical bubbles in various sectors.
- While the recent market rally has been robust, a pullback is viewed as a healthy adjustment to prevent bubble formation.
- A previous downside reversal hinted at a potential pullback, but the market's recovery and surpassing of that point demonstrate resilience.
- Current market conditions resemble a 'mini island top,' suggesting a possible change in momentum.
INSTRUMENTS
NASDAQ100
The analysis discusses the NASDAQ's performance and market trends.
SP500
The S&P 500's performance is mentioned in relation to market trends.
DOWJONES
The Dow's performance is referenced in the context of market declines.
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- The market is likely to see sideways movement or a slight pullback, with key levels to monitor including yesterday's high and the 21-day exponential moving average.
- A test of the recent upside reversal is expected, which may involve either an intraday breach or a sideways trend around significant levels.
- Current market dynamics suggest a rotation strategy, allowing investors to either maintain their existing positions or shift into sectors experiencing capital inflows.
- Investors should exercise caution with rotations, as they can be temporary; for example, moving into defensive stocks like silver or Walmart may not be advisable at this time.
- The software sector is identified as a potential area for swing trading, showing signs of a bottoming base and support at the 21-day moving average.
INSTRUMENTS
NASDAQ100
The discussion on market dynamics and potential pullbacks directly relates to the tech-heavy Nasdaq index.
SILVER
Mention of silver as a defensive stock indicates potential demand shifts in commodities.
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- Twilio is identified as a strong trading option due to its recent upside reversal and earnings support, in contrast to weaker stocks like IGV and CRM.
- The relative strength line is highlighted as a key tool for stock selection, encouraging traders to focus on stocks with leading relative strength.
- Simplifying trading strategies and focusing on outperforming benchmarks like SPY can improve trading effectiveness.
- The 21-day moving average is important, with a sideways digestion phase allowing it to catch up, which is ideal for sustaining a power trend.
- Historical examples illustrate that pullbacks to the 21-day line are necessary for healthy market movement during power trends.
INSTRUMENTS
CRM
CRM is directly discussed as a weaker stock compared to Twilio.
PANW
PANW is mentioned in the context of stocks to focus on.
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- Monitoring price action around the 21-day moving average is crucial, and traders should seek confirmation before making purchases.
- Historical examples from the late 1990s highlight the importance of understanding market behavior during pullbacks and adjusting strategies accordingly.
- Waiting for significant pullbacks can result in missed opportunities in a rising market, emphasizing the need for proactive trading.
INSTRUMENTS
NASDAQ100
The discussion focuses on market behavior and trading strategies relevant to the tech sector.
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- Studying historical stock performance, such as Qualcomm's, can enhance understanding of price dynamics and inform trading strategies.
- Profit-taking strategies vary, with some experts recommending complete liquidation on peak days, while others suggest a gradual approach based on market conditions.
- Emotional factors like fear and greed significantly influence trading decisions, especially in volatile markets.
- Monitoring long-term stock performance reveals that substantial price increases are possible, but vigilance for climax signals is crucial to mitigate losses.
INSTRUMENTS
QCOM
Qualcomm is directly discussed in the analysis block.
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- Recognizing abnormal price action, especially two days after an upside reversal, is crucial for exiting a stock after a climax top, as it may indicate a potential collapse.
- Climax tops can be misleading; relying solely on indicators may lead to late exits, highlighting the need for a more nuanced selling strategy.
- When evaluating stocks, it's important to consider broader market trends, as discrepancies between a stock's performance and market highs can indicate either base building or a completed cycle.
- After a stock climaxes, it may be wise to refrain from trading it for six to nine months, particularly if considering short positions.
- The performance of major indexes like the NASDAQ can significantly impact individual stock strategies, underscoring the importance of aligning trades with overall market movements.
INSTRUMENTS
QCOM
Qualcomm is directly discussed in the analysis block.
NASDAQ100
The analysis discusses the impact of major indexes like NASDAQ on stock strategies.
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- Market behavior near peaks can be unpredictable, often leading to misleading signals for both short and long positions.
- Failure to achieve new highs may indicate underlying weakness, suggesting a cautious approach to trading.
- Individual stock signals can be more telling than overall market trends, providing critical insights for timely selling decisions.
- A break below the 50-day moving average is a key indicator to exit positions, often signaling a change in market dynamics.
- Historical market patterns can inform current trading strategies, highlighting the importance of recognizing similar behaviors.
INSTRUMENTS
PANW
The company Palo Alto Networks (PANW) is directly discussed in the context of market behavior and stock signals.
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- Palo Alto Networks has rebounded significantly, with a nearly 17% increase this week and its relative strength line moving above key moving averages.
- Current market conditions may indicate a healthy rotation back into software stocks, though caution is warranted due to the potential for sudden market shifts.
- SolarEdge Technologies saw a substantial 50% gain this week, but the sector's volatility raises concerns about possible false signals.
- The speaker advises waiting for optimal entry points in individual stocks, recommending the use of ETFs like CIVR or HACK for a more secure investment strategy.
- Careful portfolio management is essential, balancing index performance with individual stock indicators.
INSTRUMENTS
PANW
Palo Alto Networks is directly discussed with significant performance metrics.
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- The concept of a 'high tide flag' in stock trading describes a rapid price increase with minimal pullbacks.
- Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) is noted for its constructive pause, suggesting potential for future gains.
- A distinction is made between stock patterns, particularly between a high tide flag and a deep cup with handle formation.
- Waiting for optimal entry points in trading is emphasized, even if it means missing initial gains.
- There is a warning about the risk of significant price drops in stocks that have previously surged, underscoring the importance of careful trading practices.
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- Regression lines are being established to monitor market trends, particularly focusing on the 21-day moving average as a key indicator.
- Maintaining a position above the 25,800 mark is essential for market health, indicating a favorable price movement.
- Key support levels have been adjusted, with the 702 level identified as a critical threshold for potential market declines.
- Current moving averages are aligned properly, but there are signs they may begin to decline, warranting caution in market positions.
- The analysis highlights the importance of having predefined levels to track market movements rather than reacting impulsively.
INSTRUMENTS
NASDAQ100
The analysis discusses market trends and moving averages relevant to the Nasdaq.
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- The modified power trend indicator suggests strong upward momentum, indicating potential for continued market gains.
- The webby RSI shows robust performance with a significant wall of blue, historically linked to sustained upward trends.
- Current market conditions indicate signs of weakness, with ATR measurements suggesting a likely pullback if it exceeds three ATRs.
- Comparative analysis reveals that while both the Nasdaq and IWM are experiencing weakness, the Nasdaq is performing slightly better.
- Monitoring Fed expectations is crucial, as economic indicators and market reactions to policy changes can significantly impact market dynamics.
INSTRUMENTS
NASDAQ100
The analysis discusses market conditions and trends affecting the Nasdaq.
SP500
Broad market conditions discussed may also impact the S&P 500.
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- The Fed currently indicates a 49.9% probability of maintaining interest rates between 350 to 375 basis points, with a 38.9% chance of a slight increase, reflecting market uncertainty.
- A month ago, the likelihood of an interest rate increase was only 1%, suggesting a shift in market expectations that could support a bull market if conditions improve.
- Recent movements in the bond market, particularly the spike in the 10-year yield, may indicate a significant breakout, though previous breakouts have sometimes failed.
- The transition in Fed leadership may result in a period of stability, as new management typically refrains from making drastic changes immediately.
- Inflation remains a concern, and any deterioration in economic conditions could influence the Fed's decisions and overall market performance.
- The importance of interpreting market signals and expectations, likening it to a strategic chess game.
INSTRUMENTS
EURUSD
The Fed's interest rate probabilities directly influence USD value.
SP500
Broader market sentiment influenced by Fed policy.
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- A personal story highlights the joy of early childhood milestones, such as a child learning to wave and clap.
- An invitation is extended for a community event, a west coast walk, emphasizing the importance of participation and connection among colleagues.
- The event is set for June 28th at 8 a.m, with several colleagues planning to attend, reflecting a sense of camaraderie.
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-05-15
OPEN SOURCECHANNELInvestor's Business Daily
Key Levels To Watch For Nvidia, Deere And Walmart Earnings | Earnings Cheat Sheet | IBD
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Key Levels To Watch For Nvidia, Deere And Walmart Earnings | Earnings Cheat Sheet | IBD
The block primarily promotes upcoming earnings reports for Walmart, Nvidia, and Deere, focusing on their financial performance and market trends.
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- The block primarily promotes upcoming earnings reports for Walmart, Nvidia, and Deere, focusing on their financial performance and market trends.
INSTRUMENTS
WMT
Walmart's upcoming earnings report is directly discussed.
AMZN
Amazon is referenced in comparison to Walmart's e-commerce growth.
NVDA
Nvidia is mentioned as part of the earnings discussion.
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- Walmart's high valuation raises concerns about its growth potential compared to faster-growing tech companies like Nvidia.
- John Deere is projected to see a 14% decline in earnings per share, while revenue is expected to increase by 3%, suggesting potential challenges.
- The rising fertilizer costs linked to geopolitical issues may reduce farmers' demand for new machinery, impacting Deere's sales.
- Deere's stock has retreated from recent highs, and its relative strength has weakened significantly over the last three months.
- Investors should exercise caution with earnings gaps, as they can lead to high risk and potential pullbacks following initial gains.
INSTRUMENTS
WMT
Walmart's valuation and growth potential are directly discussed.
GE
John Deere's earnings outlook and challenges are discussed.
WTI
Rising fertilizer costs linked to geopolitical issues may affect agricultural demand.
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- Deere has faced several years of declines, and while a recovery is expected, its duration remains uncertain.
- The relative strength of Deere's stock has been weak for years, showing inconsistent performance despite occasional gains.
- Nvidia is projected to report a substantial increase in Q1 earnings and revenue, fueled by strong demand in the AI sector.
- Concerns about Nvidia's transition from the Blackwell to the Rubin chip may temporarily affect demand and revenue.
- Nvidia has shown impressive performance with accelerating earnings growth, despite challenging comparisons from previous quarters.
- The potential for chip sales to China presents a significant opportunity for Nvidia, although past approvals have been inconsistent.
INSTRUMENTS
NVDA
Nvidia's earnings and revenue growth are directly discussed.
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- Nvidia's growth rate has slightly slowed, but strong demand allows for continued sales of Blackwell chips.
- The transition to the Rubin chip is critical for Nvidia to enhance pricing and maintain market dominance.
- Nvidia has achieved 11 consecutive sessions of rising stock prices, marking a significant win streak.
- The stock is trading above a buy zone, providing a cushion for investors who bought around $197, while those at higher levels may face decisions due to potential pullbacks.
- Despite concerns about future demand and pricing, Nvidia's earnings line is on the rise, indicating strong growth potential.
- The upcoming earnings report from Nvidia is expected to significantly influence the broader market due to its large market capitalization.
INSTRUMENTS
NVDA
Nvidia is directly discussed with significant growth potential and market influence.
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- Home Depot's upcoming earnings are expected to shed light on the struggling housing market.
- TJX has seen a notable decline following a failed breakout, raising concerns about its future and consumer confidence.
- Ross Stores is currently trading below the 50-day line, reflecting challenges in consumer trends.
- Target's stock has sharply retreated after a breakout attempt, making its ability to find support at the 50-day line critical ahead of earnings.
- Golar LNG is positioned in a profit-taking zone and may attempt to surpass the 56 level, with its performance closely linked to global LNG prices and geopolitical developments.
INSTRUMENTS
WMT
Walmart is directly discussed in relation to upcoming earnings.
GE
General Electric is indirectly affected by consumer trends discussed.
NATURAL_GAS
Golar LNG's performance is tied to natural gas prices.
SP500
The block discusses broader economic conditions affecting the market.
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25:00–30:00
- Viewers are encouraged to watch 'Stock Market Today' for further market analysis after the closing bell.
- The hosts thank the audience for their viewership and announce their return next week.
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-05-14
OPEN SOURCECHANNELInvestor's Business Daily
How We’re Managing Risk In An Extended Market | SwingTrader Status Update
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How We’re Managing Risk In An Extended Market | SwingTrader Status Update
The current market is experiencing a powerful trend similar to significant movements observed post-2009 and in the late 1990s.
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- The current market is experiencing a powerful trend similar to significant movements observed post-2009 and in the late 1990s.
- A power trend is characterized by specific criteria, notably the low being above the 21-day exponential moving average for at least 10 consecutive days.
- Analyzing historical trends has enhanced the understanding of market behavior, particularly in identifying distribution phases that have evolved over the decades.
- Experts stress the need to adapt strategies during a power trend, as traditional market rules may not be applicable.
- Recent market conditions have prompted a cautious approach to exposure, with a gradual increase following significant drawdowns.
INSTRUMENTS
SP500
The discussion on market trends and strategies impacts overall market sentiment.
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- Current market conditions necessitate a cautious risk management approach following significant drawdowns.
- Investors are advised to adopt incremental exposure rather than aggressive strategies in the current challenging market.
- Many investors are struggling to open new positions due to the market's extended state and absence of pullbacks.
- Power trends can be powerful but are often short-lived, requiring careful navigation.
- Historical analysis of power trends indicates that many are brief and can present challenges for investors.
- Market behavior frequently diverges from average performance metrics, highlighting the need for flexible investment strategies.
INSTRUMENTS
NASDAQ100
The discussion on cautious risk management and market conditions directly relates to tech-heavy indices.
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- Power trends begin with initial upward movements, which are essential for achieving significant progress in swing and position trading.
- The duration of power trends can vary, often being short-lived, highlighting the importance of capitalizing on these opportunities.
- Traders should implement clear exit strategies for each trade, especially in volatile markets where wider stop-loss margins may be required.
- A risk tolerance of 3-5% is recommended for swing trading, with tighter ranges suggested in less volatile conditions.
- The current upward angle of the market may not be sustainable, indicating the need for caution and avoiding assumptions of continued growth.
- Traders should refrain from impulsive buying during market fluctuations and wait for clear signals before entering new positions.
INSTRUMENTS
SP500
The discussion on market trends and risk management impacts overall market sentiment.
FULL
15:00–20:00
- The analysis of the regression line suggests that the current upward slope of the market is likely to change, although the specifics of this shift remain uncertain.
- The 21-day exponential moving average is a key support level, and while pullbacks to this line are common, they can be challenging for traders.
- Historical trends from the late 1990s illustrate that significant downturns can follow steep upward movements, highlighting the need for adaptable trading strategies.
- Traders should remain vigilant for potential market shifts, as the current trend may not be sustainable, necessitating adjustments to trading plans.
- Monitoring market behavior around critical moving averages is essential for identifying possible trend reversals.
INSTRUMENTS
NASDAQ100
The discussion focuses on market trends and potential shifts, which directly impacts tech-heavy indices like Nasdaq.
FULL
20:00–25:00
- Traders should reassess their market positions when prices fall below key moving averages, particularly the 21-day moving average.
- Historical trends indicate that significant market downturns do not always end profitable trading opportunities, as some stocks may continue to perform well despite broader declines.
- Using regression lines can help monitor market trends and inform trading decisions.
- Performance charts reflect a cautious investment approach, balancing cash and market exposure during volatile periods.
INSTRUMENTS
SP500
The discussion on market trends and moving averages impacts overall market sentiment.
FULL
25:00–30:00
- The portfolio's Average True Range (ATR) indicates a conservative strategy when below 2%, while exceeding 4% suggests a more aggressive approach.
- Earlier in the year, despite a high percentage invested, the portfolio's ATR remained low, reflecting a cautious stance due to previous drawdowns.
- Recent changes have reduced ETF exposure, allowing for more positions in high ATR individual stocks, contributing to a more aggressive investment posture.
- The relationship between portfolio ATR and percentage invested is critical; a higher ATR typically requires a lighter market position.
- Maintaining a gap between the 10-day and 21-day moving averages is vital for sustaining upward momentum in performance.
- There is a recognized potential for a pullback, with a warning that not acting on early signs of weakness could result in significant losses.
INSTRUMENTS
GE
The company Bloom Energy is directly discussed in the analysis block.
FULL
30:00–35:00
- The team has shifted from 85% ETF exposure to 45%, indicating a strategic move towards individual stocks while maintaining a significant cash position.
- A cash position of 19% is utilized to mitigate risks associated with aggressive investments in individual stocks, promoting a balanced investment strategy.
- Risk management is emphasized, particularly when entering stocks with substantial price movements, to avoid potential losses from market reversals.
- The challenges of entering positions on gap ups are highlighted, as they often involve high risks due to wide stop distances.
INSTRUMENTS
TEAM
Twilio is directly discussed in the analysis block.
FULL
35:00–40:00
- Twilio showed a rapid advance followed by a two and a half day pullback, creating a potential entry point with an upside reversal.
- Psychological factors significantly impact trading behavior, especially as stocks approach key round numbers like 200.
- Zoom's strong breakout was followed by a sell-off, indicating caution is necessary before entering a position.
- RingCentral's initial gap up was not sustained, suggesting it may not be a suitable investment option currently.
- Adopting a strategy of waiting for optimal entry points can enhance risk management and improve investment outcomes.
- The current investment strategy has shifted from quarter to half positions in individual stocks as market conditions improve.
INSTRUMENTS
MSTR
Twilio and Zoom are discussed as potential investment opportunities.
FULL
40:00–45:00
- In the model portfolio, a full position is defined as 10% of the portfolio value, with half and quarter positions at 5% and 2.5%, respectively.
- Given the current extended market conditions, caution is advised in buying decisions, with a strong emphasis on risk management.
- Blue Energy has exhibited high volatility, indicated by a significant ATR, making it a challenging stock to trade, yet it holds potential for substantial gains if it performs favorably.
- The strategy focuses on identifying logical entry points to build positions, rather than increasing exposure in uncertain market environments.
- The critical role of risk management, particularly with volatile stocks, to mitigate the risk of substantial losses.
INSTRUMENTS
GE
Blue Energy is directly discussed in the analysis block.
FULL
45:00–50:00
- Traders should seek setups with clear entry points, as demonstrated by Twilio, which has a well-defined risk level.
- The volatility of stocks like Blue Energy complicates exit strategies, highlighting the necessity for effective risk management.
- Investors are encouraged to observe trading strategies without feeling obligated to act on every recommendation.
- The NASA ETF provides an alternative way to gain exposure to volatile stocks, offering potential entry points for investors.
- Recent trading strategies involved initiating positions during market weakness, underscoring the importance of timing.
FULL
50:00–55:00
- Current market conditions necessitate a conservative trading approach due to a drawdown exceeding 10%.
- Taking a cash position can help stabilize both psychological and equity curves, allowing for strategic reassessment.
- Traders should focus on following market trends instead of relying on personal predictions.
- Adjusting trading strategies based on market performance is crucial, especially during downturns.
- Recommended resources for trading insights include the SMT video and the Market Wizards podcast.
INSTRUMENTS
SP500
The discussion centers on market conditions and drawdowns, which directly affect the S&P 500 index.
FULL
55:00–60:00
- A webby walk is planned for June 28th in Hermosa Beach, offering traders a chance to connect.
- Details about the event can be found on Mike Webster's YouTube channel.
- The walk is free, designed to foster a casual networking environment for traders in the area.
- Mike Webster's visit to family in Austin coincides with the event's scheduling in California.
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-05-14
OPEN SOURCECHANNELInvestor's Business Daily
Uptrend Strengthens As Dow Retakes 50,000: CRWD, GS, STNG In Focus | Stock Market Today
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Uptrend Strengthens As Dow Retakes 50,000: CRWD, GS, STNG In Focus | Stock Market Today
The Dow Jones has surpassed the significant milestone of 50,000, reflecting a strong bull market.
FULL
00:00–05:00
- The Dow Jones has surpassed the significant milestone of 50,000, reflecting a strong bull market.
- Goldman Sachs experienced positive movement, enhancing the Dow's overall performance.
- CrowdStrike and Scorpio Tankers are notable stocks to monitor in the security software and tanker sectors, respectively.
- The Nasdaq composite achieved another all-time high, remaining robust above 26,000.
- The S&P 500 has recorded three distribution days since April 8th, suggesting potential caution in the market.
- The overall market remains resilient with minimal selling pressure, enabling stocks to continue rising.
INSTRUMENTS
GS
Goldman Sachs is directly discussed as a stock that performed well.
DOWJONES
The Dow Jones index is discussed as it surpasses a significant milestone.
FULL
05:00–10:00
- The S&P 500 has gained 5% from previous distribution days, reducing its distribution day count from three to one.
- The current uptrend remains strong despite potential higher volume declines, with institutional selling unlikely to disrupt market momentum.
- Leading stocks continue to perform well, maintaining short-term support levels even during pullbacks.
- The NASDAQ is currently 5.7% above its 21-day moving average, indicating a strong position compared to past uptrends.
- First quarter earnings have surpassed expectations, showing a nearly 30% increase from the previous year, driven by growth in AI and data centers.
INSTRUMENTS
SP500
The analysis discusses the S&P 500's performance and market trends.
NASDAQ100
The NASDAQ's performance is highlighted in relation to the tech sector.
DOWJONES
The overall market trends affect the Dow Jones index.
FULL
10:00–15:00
- The recent earnings season has shown strong results, with first quarter earnings up nearly 30% year-over-year, contributing to the market's upward momentum.
- Cerebrus Systems, an AI chip company, experienced high demand during its IPO, pricing at $185 and opening at $350, reflecting significant investor interest.
- The company's technology utilizes a 12-inch silicon wafer as a single processor, offering faster performance compared to traditional GPU-based systems from competitors.
- Cerebrus Systems reported a 76% increase in revenues last year, exceeding $500 million, indicating strong growth potential in the AI sector.
- Investors are encouraged to wait for the establishment of an IPO base before making trading decisions, as the stock closed at $311 after an initial surge.
INSTRUMENTS
NVDA
Nvidia is mentioned as a competitor to Cerebrus Systems, indicating market dynamics in AI chips.
GS
Goldman Sachs is a major player in IPOs and market analysis, relevant to the discussion of Cerebrus Systems' IPO.
FULL
15:00–20:00
- Cerebrus Systems' IPO generated significant demand, opening at $350 after pricing at $185, reflecting strong investor interest.
- The company aims to compete with Nvidia by utilizing a unique 12-inch silicon wafer as a single processor, which promises faster performance for AI training.
- Investors are advised to wait for an IPO base to form before making trades, as demonstrated by previous successful IPOs like Solve Energy.
- CrowdStrike has shown a strong recovery following a significant decline, indicating a broader rebound in the security software sector.
- The security software group has faced challenges due to recent market conditions, but positive earnings reports from companies like Fortinet are providing support.
- Price discovery for Cerebrus Systems is expected in the coming days as the stock adjusts from its initial trading highs.
INSTRUMENTS
GS
Goldman Sachs is a major player in IPOs and investment banking, relevant to the discussion of Cerebrus Systems' IPO.
NVDA
Nvidia is mentioned as a competitor to Cerebrus Systems, indicating potential market dynamics.
PANW
Palo Alto Networks is part of the security software sector discussed in relation to CrowdStrike.
FULL
20:00–25:00
- Fortinet's strong performance last week has positively influenced CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks, highlighting a recovering security software sector.
- CrowdStrike is currently within a 5% buy zone but has seen rapid gains, warranting caution against chasing the stock at this time.
- An accumulation distribution rating of A for CrowdStrike indicates strong investor interest, but a pullback to around the 566 pivot or 550 level is preferred for a better entry point.
- Goldman Sachs has broken out of a cup with handle pattern, showing a 1.4% increase, although it is slower moving compared to leading stocks in the security software group.
- The financial sector, represented by Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, is beginning to show signs of improvement, despite the broader financial ETF XLF struggling below its 200-day moving average.
INSTRUMENTS
GS
Goldman Sachs is directly discussed as showing signs of improvement.
PANW
Palo Alto Networks is mentioned as a strong performer in the security software sector.
DOWJONES
The discussion includes the Dow's performance as it relates to Goldman Sachs.
FULL
25:00–30:00
- Goldman Sachs is breaking out of a cup with handle pattern, making it a potential stock to consider as the Dow surpasses the 50,000 level.
- Scorpio Tankers has recently broken out and is currently in the buy zone, demonstrating resilience by pulling back to its 21-day moving average and finding support.
- The transportation shipping sector, including Scorpio Tankers, is experiencing positive money flow, suggesting potential for continued performance despite its cyclical nature.
- Scorpio Tankers has shown significant earnings growth over the past two quarters, with optimistic estimates for the next quarter indicating further acceleration.
- Applied Materials is experiencing a modest increase of 3.7% ahead of its earnings report, notable given its previous strong uptrend in the chip equipment sector.
INSTRUMENTS
GS
Goldman Sachs is directly discussed as a stock to consider.
DOWJONES
The discussion centers around the Dow surpassing 50,000.
FULL
30:00–35:00
- The monthly swing trader status update show is set for today at 5 p.m. Eastern, deviating from the usual schedule.
- Justin and Webby will provide live market analysis on YouTube, focusing on swing trading strategies.
- The recorded session will be available on demand at investors.com/videos.
- The next IBD live session is scheduled for tomorrow morning, offering additional market insights.
INSTRUMENTS
DOWJONES
The discussion focuses on market analysis and swing trading strategies, which impact overall market indices.
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-05-13
OPEN SOURCECHANNELInvestor's Business Daily
Don't Wait For The Drop: Mastering Offensive Sell Rules | Investing with IBD Podcast
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Don't Wait For The Drop: Mastering Offensive Sell Rules | Investing with IBD Podcast
Connor developed an interest in the stock market during high school through a stock market simulator class, which sparked his trading journey.
FULL
00:00–05:00
- Connor developed an interest in the stock market during high school through a stock market simulator class, which sparked his trading journey.
- The COVID-19 pandemic allowed Connor to dedicate more time to trading, leading him to read 'How to Make Money in Stocks,' which he views as crucial for learning trading skills.
- Connor and Ted's trading journeys paralleled each other, as they reconnected during the pandemic and began exploring the markets together.
- They discovered a pattern in the SPAC lifecycle that enabled them to make profitable trades by accumulating SPACs near their net asset value.
- Connor's experience in portfolio management at Revere Asset Management has led to significant growth, with a protection fund now exceeding $40 million.
- Both Connor and Ted highlight the value of trial and error in their trading education, especially during their college years.
INSTRUMENTS
GE
Revere Asset Management is directly discussed in the context of portfolio management.
FULL
05:00–10:00
- The speakers stress the necessity of risk management in trading, particularly after their experiences with SPACs, which underscored the importance of having structured rules.
- They share a similar background in soccer and a reconnection during the COVID-19 pandemic, which allowed them to delve deeper into trading.
- Their analysis of market leaders is guided by specific lists, such as '21 over 21' and 'Turbo 12', which assist in assessing market health and identifying investment opportunities.
- 21 over 21' features stocks trading above their 21-day moving average, while 'Turbo 12' focuses on high beta stocks with lower liquidity, promoting a diverse investment strategy.
- These lists are used to track the performance of current holdings and potential purchases, offering insights into market trends.
- Their trading approach is shaped by personal research, educational materials, and networking with other traders on social media platforms.
INSTRUMENTS
MSTR
MSTR is directly discussed in the context of trading strategies.
FULL
10:00–15:00
- Diversification is challenging due to the high correlation among stocks in different sectors, especially those related to AI, which often move together.
- While high correlation can enhance portfolio performance in strong markets, it also heightens risk during downturns, as evidenced by previous market corrections.
- The Revere Estimated Balance at Risk (Rebar) method evaluates the maximum potential downside of a portfolio by adjusting stop losses for each position.
- Establishing a clear plan with set stop losses helps traders maintain composure during market volatility, minimizing panic from fluctuating profits.
- A high Rebar value suggests that stocks may be overextended, indicating a prudent time to take profits and reduce positions.
INSTRUMENTS
NASDAQ100
The discussion on high correlation among AI-related stocks impacts the tech sector broadly.
GOLD
Mention of risk management and potential profit-taking suggests safe-haven demand.
SILVER
Similar to gold, silver may see increased demand amid market uncertainty.
FULL
15:00–20:00
- Monitoring the balance at risk is essential, as a high rebar value often signals a potential market pullback.
- A systematic selling approach helps traders manage emotional responses during market fluctuations, enabling adherence to their strategies.
- Each stock should be assessed on its own merits, with predetermined stop-loss levels to prevent panic selling.
- In cases of extended stocks, selling into strength can be a prudent risk management strategy, particularly when the average true range indicates possible significant pullbacks.
- Adjusting stop-loss levels based on a stock's performance and volatility allows traders to maintain positions while managing risk effectively.
INSTRUMENTS
SP500
The discussion on market pullbacks and risk management strategies impacts overall market sentiment.
FULL
20:00–25:00
- Traders can implement rules for selling into strength, such as taking profits when a stock is 10 ATRs above its 50-day moving average.
- In the case of Micron, profits were taken after the stock reached the 10 ATR mark, as it had become a significant portion of the portfolio.
- Trailing stops using the 8 and 21 EMA allows traders to manage profit volatility while securing gains.
- Identifying potential climax tops involves looking for multiple exhaustion gaps and notable daily price movements that suggest overextension.
- Consolidation through price or time is crucial for stocks that have experienced large moves, as it helps moving averages catch up and mitigates the risk of sharp pullbacks.
- Many stocks are currently forming high-tight flags, indicating significant price movements followed by consolidations, which may signal continued upward momentum.
INSTRUMENTS
MU
Micron is directly discussed in the analysis block.
FULL
25:00–30:00
- Traders often face psychological challenges when selling, particularly the fear of missing out on further gains after a sale.
- Accepting that it's nearly impossible to sell at the exact peak of a stock's movement is crucial, as missing the final part of a move is common.
- When considering repurchasing a sold position, it should be based on a valid entry point rather than simply chasing an already extended stock.
- Signs of strength in a stock after a sale may indicate that the initial decision to sell was incorrect, suggesting a potential buyback.
- Buying back into an extended stock carries risks, as it may lead to further losses if the stock experiences a pullback.
- The acceptance of imperfections in trading is similar to a baseball player's batting average, where consistent performance is valued despite occasional failures.
FULL
30:00–35:00
- A valid buyback point is identified when a stock maintains previous highs and reclaims moving averages, rather than simply chasing after a stock that has already risen.
- High tight flags can create new entry opportunities after selling into strength, as seen with portfolio managers who sold Qualcomm at a peak but later repurchased during a high tight flag setup.
- Market reactions to economic indicators like PPI and CPI are critical; a stock's ability to hold its value despite negative news can signal bullish sentiment.
- Price action is the key factor in trading decisions, often outweighing the impact of news events.
- Contextual understanding of economic data is vital, as markets may have already adjusted to expectations, resulting in unexpected price movements.
INSTRUMENTS
QCOM
Qualcomm is directly discussed in the context of buyback strategies.
FULL
35:00–40:00
- ETFs are preferred for their diversification benefits and ability to mitigate single stock risk, especially in volatile markets.
- Leveraged S&P ETFs are incorporated into portfolios to balance growth stocks and reduce drawdowns, particularly for clients approaching retirement.
- Sector-specific ETFs, such as SOXAL, often outperform individual stocks, making them effective for capturing broader market trends.
- The rise of single stock ETFs has broadened investment options, enabling targeted exposure to high beta stocks and sectors.
- Hedging strategies with single stock ETFs can be employed as an alternative to taking profits, allowing for risk management while maintaining market exposure.
INSTRUMENTS
SP500
The discussion on ETFs and their role in balancing portfolios indicates a broader market impact.
FULL
40:00–45:00
- Some traders prefer selling individual stocks instead of hedging to simplify their positions and avoid complications.
- For clients with legacy positions and unrealized gains, inverse ETFs provide a straightforward hedging strategy.
- Corning (GLW) is a key holding in the turbo portfolio, showing resilience despite market fluctuations and earnings gaps.
- The stock's recent performance indicates it may be breaking out of an ascending base pattern, suggesting potential for further gains.
- Effective position sizing is essential for stocks with significant price movements, as demonstrated by AOI, which also shows an ascending base pattern.
INSTRUMENTS
MSTR
Corning (GLW) is discussed as a key holding, indicating strong interest in its stock performance.
MU
Mention of semiconductor stocks implies relevance to Micron Technology.
FULL
45:00–50:00
- Effective position sizing is essential for trading high momentum stocks, as larger positions can lead to being shaken out by minor price fluctuations.
- The Revere Volatility Adjusted Beta (RVAB) assists in determining suitable position sizes based on stock volatility.
- Akamai is identified as a promising stock in the Edge Computing sector, showing potential for growth following a consolidation phase.
- Earnings reports serve as critical indicators for stock performance, often resulting in significant price movements when companies surpass expectations.
- Stocks typically move in groups, and the performance of related stocks can validate broader market trends.
- To manage risk with volatile stocks, entry tactics include purchasing on breakouts of pre-market or post-market highs.
INSTRUMENTS
MU
Akamai is discussed as a promising stock in the Edge Computing sector.
FULL
50:00–55:00
- Traders can employ various entry strategies for earnings gap stocks, utilizing different time frames for open range breaks; longer time frames tend to yield higher win rates but may necessitate smaller position sizes due to wider stop-loss levels.
- For reentries, traders should consider retaking the gap day's low, reclaiming the volume-weighted average price (VWAP), or waiting for a flag formation in subsequent days.
- Effective risk management is essential when trading stocks that experience significant gaps; placing stop-loss orders at structural points helps determine when a trade is no longer valid.
- The importance of cutting losses early is highlighted, as holding onto significant losers can adversely affect overall trading performance.
- The example of URA underscores the necessity of following stop-loss rules, as the stock did not perform as anticipated after an initial breakout attempt.
INSTRUMENTS
ORCL
Discussion of Blue Energy's performance and trading strategies.
FULL
55:00–60:00
- Early loss cutting is vital to protect a portfolio, as illustrated by a recent 2.5% loss that was quickly addressed.
- Maintaining a losing position can exacerbate losses, highlighting the need for a defined exit strategy.
- Despite having a cushion before earnings, AMPX experienced a 20% drop, prompting an immediate sell-off.
- Earnings season can be unpredictable; traders should adhere to their strategies rather than fixate on outcomes, as shown by the differing results with AMPX and Rocket Lab.
- Evaluating implied moves and ensuring adequate cushion is essential before holding stocks through earnings announcements.
INSTRUMENTS
MSTR
AMPX and Rocket Lab are discussed, indicating stock volatility and trading strategies.
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-05-13
OPEN SOURCECHANNELInvestor's Business Daily
Chips Lead Nasdaq, S&P 500 To New Highs: ASML, Dycom, NBIX In Focus | Stock Market Today
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Chips Lead Nasdaq, S&P 500 To New Highs: ASML, Dycom, NBIX In Focus | Stock Market Today
The NASDAQ and S&P 500 achieved new all-time highs, with the NASDAQ increasing by 1.2% and the S&P 500 rising by 0.61%.
FULL
00:00–05:00
- The NASDAQ and S&P 500 achieved new all-time highs, with the NASDAQ increasing by 1.2% and the S&P 500 rising by 0.61%.
- ASML and Dycom Industries are identified as significant stocks in the semiconductor and biotech sectors, respectively.
- Despite recent economic data showing higher-than-expected inflation, the market has remained resilient and largely unconcerned.
- Bond yields have experienced a slight increase of five basis points, yet the market continues to show little worry about inflationary pressures.
- There is ongoing discussion regarding the potential overheating of semiconductor stocks, but they continue to perform well in the current market.
INSTRUMENTS
ASML
ASML is directly discussed as a significant stock in the semiconductor sector.
NASDAQ100
The NASDAQ index is impacted by the performance of semiconductor stocks.
SP500
The S&P 500 index reflects the broader market performance discussed.
FULL
05:00–10:00
- The Nasdaq and S&P 500 are closely watching their 10-day moving averages, which could act as a support level during potential pullbacks.
- The upcoming US-China summit, featuring prominent tech CEOs, is expected to lead to important trade discussions that may impact the tech sector.
- Investors are advised to be cautious about chasing performance, as many stocks are currently extended beyond actionable levels.
- Barclays has shared insights that could affect market sentiment, although specific details were not provided in the discussion.
- Ongoing volatility in oil prices and geopolitical tensions, particularly related to Iran, continue to pose risks to market stability.
- The attendance of high-profile CEOs at the summit indicates potential opportunities for significant deals that could influence market dynamics.
INSTRUMENTS
NVDA
Nvidia is directly discussed in the context of the US-China summit and trade implications.
NASDAQ100
The Nasdaq is mentioned as a key index to watch for market movements.
SP500
The S&P 500 is also highlighted in the context of market trends.
BRENT
Geopolitical tensions and oil price volatility are mentioned.
FULL
10:00–15:00
- Barclays indicates that concerns about a semiconductor bubble are exaggerated, highlighting a genuine boom driven by real revenues and substantial capital investments.
- Tower Semiconductor's strong demand forecasts extend into 2028, suggesting a potential multi-year growth cycle for the semiconductor sector.
- Many semiconductor stocks may require consolidation after recent gains, which could create new buying opportunities.
- ASML remains in a buy zone following a recent breakout, supported by strong fundamentals and ongoing demand for its lithography machines.
- The semiconductor industry is witnessing earnings growth and positive stock performance, indicating a favorable outlook.
INSTRUMENTS
ASML
ASML is directly discussed as a leader in the semiconductor sector.
NVDA
NVIDIA is a key player in the semiconductor industry, benefiting from the overall positive outlook.
FULL
15:00–20:00
- ASML continues to be a strong player in the chip equipment sector, demonstrating solid fundamentals and a favorable technical setup, remaining within a buy zone.
- The recent pullback in ASML's stock was accompanied by lighter volume, suggesting buyer support as it closed at highs during the decline.
- Dycom Industries is showing positive momentum, rebounding after a recent breakout and maintaining a strong prior uptrend without being overly extended.
- Dycom's stock was re-added to the leaderboard, reflecting confidence in its performance after reclaiming its 10-day moving average.
- Neurocrine Biosciences has seen significant gains, with a 6% increase this week following a 15.5% rise last week, indicating a strong upward trend.
- Both Dycom and Neurocrine Biosciences are well-positioned for growth, supported by favorable earnings forecasts and solid technical setups.
INSTRUMENTS
ASML
ASML is directly discussed as a strong player in the chip equipment sector.
FULL
20:00–25:00
- Neurocrine Biosciences has seen a notable increase in its stock over the past two weeks, largely due to a strong earnings report, but may experience a period of consolidation after these gains.
- The company has a solid track record of profitability and specializes in treatments for neurological and psychiatric conditions, including tardive dyskinesia and Huntington's disease.
- Cisco's stock surged 13% in after-hours trading following a robust earnings report, contributing to a total increase of 20% since its recent breakout.
- Cisco is evolving from a traditional hardware networking company to a significant player in AI infrastructure, achieving new all-time highs.
- The trend of stocks experiencing substantial pre-earnings gains followed by further increases post-earnings is becoming more prevalent in the technology sector.
FULL
25:00–30:00
- The weekly investing podcast hosted by Justin Nielsen will cover trading routines and strategies for taking profits in the current market.
- Connor Bates and Ted Zang from an asset management firm will provide their insights during the podcast.
- Listeners can watch the podcast live at 5 p.m. Eastern on YouTube and access it later on various podcast platforms.
INSTRUMENTS
NASDAQ100
The podcast discusses trading strategies in a strong market, indicating potential upward movement in tech stocks.
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