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Swissquote — Finance Briefing

INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-07-03
OPEN SOURCE
CHANNELSwissquote
Weak US jobs boost investor optimism | MarketTalk
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Weak US jobs boost investor optimism | MarketTalk
Swissquote • 2026-07-03 07:57:57 UTC
Weak US jobs data eased pressure on US yields and supported broader markets, helping lift indices with limited technology exposure to fresh all-time highs.
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00:00–05:00
  • Weak US jobs data eased pressure on US yields and supported broader markets, helping lift indices with limited technology exposure to fresh all-time highs.
  • The US economy added 57,000 new non-farm jobs in June, with wage growth aligning with market expectations at 0.3% month-to-month and 3.5% year-over-year.
  • The unemployment rate fell to 4.2%, attributed to a decline in the participation rate, which may have contributed to a softer outlook for Federal Reserve rate hikes.
  • The US dollar weakened against most major currencies, with the euro recovering early week losses and gold prices rising to $4,195 per ounce due to softening US yields.
  • The technology-heavy Nasdaq 100 index fell 1.61%, contrasting with the Dow Jones industrial index, which rallied 1.14% to a fresh all-time high.
  • Our interpretation: The recent weak US jobs data suggests a potential shift in Federal Reserve rate expectations, which could lead to a softer monetary policy stance. This may result in a weaker US dollar and increased demand for gold, while also impacting equities, particularly in the technology sector, as investors reassess risk and growth prospects ahead of upcoming inflation data.
INSTRUMENTS
GOLD
I 0.9 • C 0.9
Gold prices rose due to softening US yields and weaker dollar expectations.
AUDUSD
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses the impact of weak US jobs data on Federal Reserve rate expectations.
EURUSD
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses the impact of weak US jobs data on Federal Reserve rate expectations. Also: The US dollar weakened against the euro, indicating a potential shift in currency dynamics.
GBPUSD
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses the impact of weak US jobs data on Federal Reserve rate expectations.
NZDUSD
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses the impact of weak US jobs data on Federal Reserve rate expectations.
USDCAD
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses the impact of weak US jobs data on Federal Reserve rate expectations.
USDCHF
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses the impact of weak US jobs data on Federal Reserve rate expectations.
USDDKK
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses the impact of weak US jobs data on Federal Reserve rate expectations.
USDJPY
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses the impact of weak US jobs data on Federal Reserve rate expectations.
USDNOK
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses the impact of weak US jobs data on Federal Reserve rate expectations.
USDPLN
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses the impact of weak US jobs data on Federal Reserve rate expectations.
USDSEK
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses the impact of weak US jobs data on Federal Reserve rate expectations.
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05:00–10:00
  • The weaker US dollar contributes to reduced inflation pressures globally, coinciding with a sustainable decline in energy prices.
  • Technology firms, particularly chip manufacturers, are experiencing difficulties, with losses attributed to concerns over excess capacity and potential defaults from clients like OpenAI.
  • Google's electricity demand surged by 37% and water consumption increased by 35% due to the AI boom, while Amazon's greenhouse emissions rose by 16%.
  • Despite strong enthusiasm for semiconductors, natural resources remain under-owned, with uranium-related assets declining significantly since January.
  • If AI infrastructure continues to expand rapidly, demand for natural resources, including copper and energy, is likely to rise, impacting both traditional and clean energy sectors.
  • Our interpretation: The growth of the AI sector may exert upward pressure on natural resource prices, influencing inflation expectations and the strength of the US dollar, which could lead to a reassessment of investment strategies across commodities and equities.
INSTRUMENTS
AMZN
I 0.6 • C 0.8
Amazon is mentioned in relation to increased energy demand due to the AI boom.
GOOGL
I 0.6 • C 0.8
Google's increased electricity demand is highlighted in the context of the AI boom.
AUDUSD
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses the weaker US dollar and its impact on inflation pressures.
EURUSD
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses the weaker US dollar and its impact on inflation pressures.
GBPUSD
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses the weaker US dollar and its impact on inflation pressures.
NZDUSD
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses the weaker US dollar and its impact on inflation pressures.
USDCAD
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses the weaker US dollar and its impact on inflation pressures.
USDCHF
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses the weaker US dollar and its impact on inflation pressures.
USDDKK
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses the weaker US dollar and its impact on inflation pressures.
USDJPY
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses the weaker US dollar and its impact on inflation pressures.
USDNOK
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses the weaker US dollar and its impact on inflation pressures.
USDPLN
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses the weaker US dollar and its impact on inflation pressures.
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10:00–15:00
outro_or_disclaimer
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-07-02
OPEN SOURCE
CHANNELSwissquote
Bad news from Meta, Oracle | MarketTalk
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Bad news from Meta, Oracle | MarketTalk
Swissquote • 2026-07-02 07:52:54 UTC
Markets are facing a significant reality check regarding AI investments, particularly after Meta's announcement to commercialize its AI infrastructure and Oracle's warning about potential payment struggles from heavily l…
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  • Markets are facing a significant reality check regarding AI investments, particularly after Meta's announcement to commercialize its AI infrastructure and Oracle's warning about potential payment struggles from heavily leveraged customers like OpenAI.
  • Meta's stock rose nearly 9% following the announcement, reflecting investor optimism about the potential profitability of its AI infrastructure, despite concerns about overspending.
  • Oracle warned that the construction of data centers may take longer and cost more than anticipated due to supply chain issues and risks associated with high-leverage customers, specifically mentioning OpenAI's substantial computing power orders.
  • If major tech companies slow their AI spending, it could negatively impact revenue expectations for chipmakers, as evidenced by a more than 5% drop in the Korean cost index.
  • Our interpretation: The recent developments suggest a potential shift in market sentiment, where concerns over AI spending could lead to a reevaluation of growth expectations for both tech companies and their suppliers.
INSTRUMENTS
META
I 0.9 • C 0.9
Meta's decision to commercialize its AI infrastructure is central to the discussion.
ORCL
I 0.8 • C 0.8
Oracle's warning about payment struggles from customers is a key point in the analysis.
KOSPI
I 0.6 • C 0.7
The block mentions a drop in the Korean cost index due to tech sell-offs.
AUDUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The block discusses potential shifts in market sentiment that could affect US economic indicators.
EURUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The block discusses potential shifts in market sentiment that could affect US economic indicators. Also: The block mentions softer euro area inflation, which can influence euro expectations.
GBPUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The block discusses potential shifts in market sentiment that could affect US economic indicators.
NZDUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The block discusses potential shifts in market sentiment that could affect US economic indicators.
USDCAD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The block discusses potential shifts in market sentiment that could affect US economic indicators.
USDCHF
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The block discusses potential shifts in market sentiment that could affect US economic indicators.
USDDKK
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The block discusses potential shifts in market sentiment that could affect US economic indicators.
USDJPY
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The block discusses potential shifts in market sentiment that could affect US economic indicators.
USDNOK
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The block discusses potential shifts in market sentiment that could affect US economic indicators.
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05:00–10:00
  • China represents about 15% of Apple's sales, prompting potential negotiations with semiconductor manufacturers due to steep membership price increases.
  • Micron's stock fell by 10%, while the VanEck Semiconductor ETF dropped over 5% in a single session, reflecting broader losses among chipmakers.
  • Cloud service providers Corviv and Nibius reported significant losses of 13% and 17%, respectively, amid a technology stock sell-off.
  • The S&P 500 experienced a slight decline of 0.22%, although most firms within the index posted gains despite negative sentiment in the tech sector.
  • Falling oil prices, influenced by positive developments in US-Iran peace negotiations, contributed to easing inflation expectations, with US crude prices dropping nearly 3% to below $68 per barrel.
  • Central bankers, including Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and ECB Chief Christine Lagarde, expressed optimism about inflation, suggesting that recent oil price declines may help avoid further monetary policy tightening.
  • Our interpretation: The current market dynamics indicate that concerns over AI spending and technology sector performance could lead to a reassessment of growth expectations for tech companies and their suppliers.
INSTRUMENTS
AAPL
I 0.8 • C 0.9
Apple's sales are significantly impacted by the semiconductor market dynamics discussed.
MU
I 0.7 • C 0.8
Micron's stock performance is directly mentioned in the context of the semiconductor sell-off.
SP500
I 0.6 • C 0.7
The S&P 500 index is mentioned in relation to overall market performance amidst tech sector concerns.
AUDUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses Fed Chair comments and US inflation expectations.
EURUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses Fed Chair comments and US inflation expectations. Also: The block mentions euro area inflation and central bank comments.
GBPUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses Fed Chair comments and US inflation expectations.
NZDUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses Fed Chair comments and US inflation expectations.
USDCAD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses Fed Chair comments and US inflation expectations.
USDCHF
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses Fed Chair comments and US inflation expectations.
USDDKK
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses Fed Chair comments and US inflation expectations.
USDJPY
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses Fed Chair comments and US inflation expectations.
USDNOK
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses Fed Chair comments and US inflation expectations.
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-06-30
OPEN SOURCE
CHANNELSwissquote
BTC struggling with strength | Crypto Talk
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BTC struggling with strength | Crypto Talk
Swissquote • 2026-06-30 15:00:12 UTC
Bitcoin is trending towards a bear market, with its price declining approximately 3% to around 62,400 USD, influenced by a downturn in the tech stock market and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve's outlook.
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00:00–05:00
  • Bitcoin is trending towards a bear market, with its price declining approximately 3% to around 62,400 USD, influenced by a downturn in the tech stock market and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve's outlook.
  • Should Bitcoin's price break below its current lower range, it could potentially fall to between 55,000 and 60,000 USD, with a worst-case scenario suggesting an even steeper decline.
  • Ethereum has experienced significant market pressure, with 170 million USD in long positions liquidated as its price has dropped over 30% in the past 30 days, outpacing the broader cryptocurrency market's decline of 17%.
  • The Ethereum foundation is reportedly reducing its workforce by 20%, which may negatively affect investor sentiment despite potential benefits from restructuring efforts aimed at enhancing privacy, scaling, and decentralization.
  • Our interpretation: The current market dynamics indicate that Bitcoin's price is closely tied to broader tech market trends and Federal Reserve policies, while Ethereum's struggles reflect deeper issues within its ecosystem, suggesting that both assets may face continued volatility unless significant positive developments occur.
INSTRUMENTS
BTCUSD
I 1.0 • C 1.0
Bitcoin's price dynamics are central to the discussion.
ETHUSD
I 1.0 • C 1.0
Ethereum's struggles and liquidation of long positions are highlighted.
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05:00–10:00
  • Ethereum recently reached a peak price of approximately $1,500, raising questions about its potential to reach that level again.
  • Concerns exist that if Ethereum fails to recover, it may soon fall into a three-digit price range.
  • The Ethereum ecosystem is reportedly dissatisfied with its foundation, indicating that restructuring efforts could help restore its previous value of around $5,000.
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-06-30
OPEN SOURCE
CHANNELSwissquote
The world’s leading innovators: opportunities beyond public markets
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The world’s leading innovators: opportunities beyond public markets
Swissquote • 2026-06-30 14:54:30 UTC
Andreas Bezner, CEO and co-founder of Stableton, has over 20 years of experience in public markets, hedge funds, and private markets.
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00:00–05:00
  • Andreas Bezner, CEO and co-founder of Stableton, has over 20 years of experience in public markets, hedge funds, and private markets.
  • Stableton has executed over 175 private market transactions and is nearing 1 billion in assets under management.
  • Stableton is a FINMA regulated tech-driven specialist and a prominent institutional investor in private tech blue chip companies.
  • The discussed strategy is the world's first index strategy for private blue chip tech companies, with Swissquote as the exclusive launch partner.
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05:00–10:00
  • The speaker presents the Stable North Star Pitchbook Unicorn 20, the first private market index strategy launched in 2023, allowing for weekly subscriptions and redemptions.
  • This strategy targets the top 20 private tech companies, valuing them based on their actual worth in the secondary market to ensure transparency for investors.
  • The approach is compared to public markets, emphasizing that it is the first passive systematic investment strategy for private markets, akin to exchange-traded funds and index funds.
  • The combined valuation of the top 20 unicorns exceeds $4.5 trillion, surpassing the total valuation of all 155 companies in the S&P 500.
  • The average time companies remain private has increased to over 13.5 years, reflecting a trend of delaying public offerings.
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10:00–15:00
  • The average duration for companies to remain private has increased to over 13.5 years.
  • There is ample capital available in the private market, which diminishes the need for companies to go public unless they require substantial funding.
  • A secondary market now allows individual investors to sell their holdings to new investors, enabling companies to create value while staying private.
  • Companies like Stripe and SpaceX have been included in the index for over 10 years, showcasing strong returns.
  • The secondary market for private companies currently represents only 2.2% of their market value, in contrast to 150% in public markets, suggesting significant growth potential.
FULL
15:00–20:00
  • The secondary market facilitates the trading of existing shares of private companies, with Caplight data indicating substantial transaction activity.
  • The Morningside Peach Book Unicorn 20 index enables backtesting, demonstrating a theoretical annual return of 23.1% net of fees over the past decade.
  • This index selects the 20 most valuable private companies valued at over $1 billion, excluding those with low liquidity.
  • The current portfolio emphasizes AI-driven companies, including OpenAI, Databricks, and SpaceX, which has recently gone public.
  • The index acts as a precursor for technology companies prior to their public offerings, featuring notable firms such as Spotify, Dropbox, and Airbnb.
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20:00–25:00
  • Private blue chip tech companies exhibit strong fundamentals, proven business models, and typically maintain little to no debt.
  • These companies are experiencing an average growth rate of 32% this year, significantly outpacing the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500.
  • The product has achieved a three-year performance track record of 125%.
  • The portfolio includes direct capital positions in companies such as Stripe, Canva, and Databricks, emphasizing a one-to-one relationship with their growth.
  • Many of these companies do not require public offerings due to the ample availability of capital.
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25:00–30:00
  • Investors can access top-tier VC funds and private companies with minimum investments around $200 USD.
  • The product features a semi-liquid structure, allowing subscriptions and redemptions on a weekly basis with specific redemption limits.
  • Stableton's offering includes a low management fee of 1.5% and no performance fee, contrasting with typical private market products that charge a 2% management fee and a 20% incentive fee.
  • The investment strategy is transparent and straightforward, enabling investors to buy into a portfolio of 20 companies without complex paperwork.
  • Stableton provides direct shareholder access to companies, avoiding additional costs often associated with special purpose vehicles (SPVs) in other funds.
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30:00–35:00
  • Publicly listed closed-end funds in the United States can trade at prices significantly higher than their net asset value, sometimes up to 10 times more than the underlying portfolio's worth.
  • Investing in private companies necessitates a strong team, processes, and technology to manage frequent transactions, making it a manual and complex process.
  • The investment product allows everyday investors to access private markets easily through platforms like Swissquote without needing extensive documentation or connections.
  • When companies like SpaceX and Syribras go public, they will be removed from the portfolio 180 days after their IPO, and the proceeds will be reinvested in the next largest private company.
  • The investment strategy is comparable to an index strategy in public markets, where the portfolio can change based on specific rules rather than subjective selection.
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35:00–40:00
  • New companies entering the index typically have valuations of at least 20 to 40 billion on the secondary market.
  • Companies can create value in the portfolio without going public, as they may grow by 30 to 50%.
  • Secondary market transactions involve existing investors buying shares from one another, with no funds going to the company.
  • Navigating the secondary market is complex due to varying rules, rights, and share classes associated with different private company shares.
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-06-30
OPEN SOURCE
CHANNELSwissquote
Can chips rally without Big Tech? | MarketTalk
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Can chips rally without Big Tech? | MarketTalk
Swissquote • 2026-06-30 07:27:58 UTC
Chipmakers are experiencing gains driven by expectations of ongoing AI investment, while the companies funding this growth are facing declining investor confidence.
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00:00–05:00
  • Chipmakers are experiencing gains driven by expectations of ongoing AI investment, while the companies funding this growth are facing declining investor confidence.
  • The Magnificent 7, a group of major tech firms, has seen a nearly 15% drop since May, with Microsoft losing over a third of its value since October of the previous year.
  • Significant AI spending from hyperscalers has resulted in substantial rallies for companies like Nvidia and Micron, but investor sentiment is shifting as they withdraw investments.
  • If hyperscalers reduce their spending, projected future revenues for AI enablers, including chipmakers, could decline, negatively affecting their valuations.
  • The Korean Cosby Index increased by 2.40% following announcements of large investments in new chip fabrication facilities, suggesting a direct link between investment news and market performance.
  • Our interpretation: Should major tech companies cut back on AI spending due to investor pressure, it could lead to a notable decline in semiconductor stock valuations, as these are closely linked to anticipated growth from such investments.
INSTRUMENTS
NVDA
I 0.9 • C 0.9
Nvidia is directly mentioned as a key player in the semiconductor market.
MU
I 0.8 • C 0.8
Micron is also highlighted as a significant semiconductor company benefiting from AI investments.
NASDAQ100
I 0.6 • C 0.7
The discussion on tech companies and their performance relates to the broader tech index.
AUDUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on AI spending and investor confidence relates to broader economic conditions affecting the USD.
EURUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on AI spending and investor confidence relates to broader economic conditions affecting the USD.
GBPUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on AI spending and investor confidence relates to broader economic conditions affecting the USD.
NZDUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on AI spending and investor confidence relates to broader economic conditions affecting the USD.
USDCAD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on AI spending and investor confidence relates to broader economic conditions affecting the USD.
USDCHF
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on AI spending and investor confidence relates to broader economic conditions affecting the USD.
USDDKK
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on AI spending and investor confidence relates to broader economic conditions affecting the USD.
USDJPY
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on AI spending and investor confidence relates to broader economic conditions affecting the USD.
USDNOK
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on AI spending and investor confidence relates to broader economic conditions affecting the USD.
FULL
05:00–10:00
  • The US dollar is strengthening against most major currencies, with the Euro trading below the 114 mark, indicating a shift in currency dynamics.
  • The potential difficulty in achieving a US-Iran peace deal could exert renewed pressure on global financial markets, particularly if geopolitical tensions escalate.
  • Gold is trading below the critical support level of $4,000, suggesting a medium-term bearish trend, with the next target for bearish traders set at $36.80 per ounce.
  • The Japanese yen has surpassed the 162 level, with officials appearing reluctant to intervene in the currency market unless there is a significant sell-off.
  • Our interpretation: The interplay between geopolitical tensions and currency dynamics, particularly the US dollar's strength and potential yen intervention, could influence market stability and investor sentiment in the coming weeks.
INSTRUMENTS
GOLD
I 0.8 • C 0.9
Gold is discussed as trading below a critical support level.
AUDUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The US dollar is mentioned as strengthening against major currencies.
EURUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The US dollar's strength against the Euro is relevant to market dynamics. Also: The US dollar is mentioned as strengthening against major currencies.
GBPUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The US dollar is mentioned as strengthening against major currencies.
NZDUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The US dollar is mentioned as strengthening against major currencies.
USDCAD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The US dollar's strength can influence CAD through commodity-linked flows. Also: The US dollar is mentioned as strengthening against major currencies.
USDCHF
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The US dollar's strength can influence CHF through safe-haven dynamics. Also: The US dollar is mentioned as strengthening against major currencies.
USDDKK
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The US dollar is mentioned as strengthening against major currencies.
USDJPY
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The US dollar is mentioned as strengthening against major currencies. Also: The Japanese yen's performance is discussed in relation to potential intervention.
USDNOK
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The US dollar is mentioned as strengthening against major currencies.
USDPLN
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The US dollar is mentioned as strengthening against major currencies.
USDSEK
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The US dollar is mentioned as strengthening against major currencies.
FULL
10:00–15:00
outro_or_disclaimer
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-06-29
OPEN SOURCE
CHANNELSwissquote
Oil contained despite weekend’s Mid-East tensions | MarketTalk
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Oil contained despite weekend’s Mid-East tensions | MarketTalk
Swissquote • 2026-06-29 07:29:28 UTC
Oil prices have remained contained despite tensions between the US and Iran, with US crude trading below $70 per barrel.
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00:00–05:00
  • Oil prices have remained contained despite tensions between the US and Iran, with US crude trading below $70 per barrel.
  • Strategic reserve releases and ongoing oil tanker flows through the Strait of Hormuz have mitigated fears of a major supply disruption.
  • Investor focus is shifting towards macroeconomic drivers, particularly the upcoming US jobs report and Kevin Warsh's speech, which may reinforce expectations for a hawkish Federal Reserve.
  • The technology sector is experiencing significant sell-offs, with Japan's Nikkei index down more than 1%.
  • Hedge funds are reportedly dumping technology holdings at the fastest pace on record, indicating a continued rotation out of technology stocks.
  • Our interpretation: The current market dynamics suggest that while oil prices remain stable, the pressure on technology stocks could lead to a reallocation of investment strategies, particularly as macroeconomic indicators are closely monitored.
INSTRUMENTS
WTI
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses oil price stability amid geopolitical tensions, directly impacting WTI prices.
AUDUSD
I 0.7 • C 0.8
The block discusses the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and its potential impact on the US dollar.
EURUSD
I 0.7 • C 0.8
The block discusses the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and its potential impact on the US dollar.
GBPUSD
I 0.7 • C 0.8
The block discusses the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and its potential impact on the US dollar.
NZDUSD
I 0.7 • C 0.8
The block discusses the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and its potential impact on the US dollar.
USDCAD
I 0.7 • C 0.8
The block discusses the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and its potential impact on the US dollar.
USDCHF
I 0.7 • C 0.8
The block discusses the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and its potential impact on the US dollar.
USDDKK
I 0.7 • C 0.8
The block discusses the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and its potential impact on the US dollar.
USDJPY
I 0.7 • C 0.8
The block discusses the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and its potential impact on the US dollar.
USDNOK
I 0.7 • C 0.8
The block discusses the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and its potential impact on the US dollar.
USDPLN
I 0.7 • C 0.8
The block discusses the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and its potential impact on the US dollar.
USDSEK
I 0.7 • C 0.8
The block discusses the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and its potential impact on the US dollar.
FULL
05:00–10:00
  • US technology companies are contributing over 12 percent to the US GDP, with S&P 500 earnings projected to grow by more than 21 percent in the second quarter due to AI investments.
  • Significant AI investments are drawing on the free cash flow of major technology firms, compelling them to incur more debt, which pressures their valuations amid rising yields.
  • Chip makers have maintained strong pricing power, but as prices begin to squeeze profits, investors may realize that current revenue growth rates are not sustainable.
  • The upcoming US jobs report is expected to show an addition of around 120,000 new non-farm jobs in June, with wage growth being a key focus for investors.
  • The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance has led to a renewed appetite for the US dollar, which could continue if inflation remains above 4 percent.
  • The euro dollar faces limited upside potential as the market anticipates US dollar appreciation, which could pressure precious metal prices lower.
  • Our interpretation: The current market dynamics suggest that while oil prices remain stable, the pressure on technology stocks could lead to a reallocation of investment strategies, particularly as macroeconomic indicators are closely monitored.
INSTRUMENTS
AAPL
I 0.6 • C 0.8
Apple is mentioned in relation to pricing power and product pricing.
AUDUSD
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance is explicitly mentioned.
EURUSD
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance is explicitly mentioned. Also: The euro dollar is discussed in the context of limited upside potential.
GBPUSD
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance is explicitly mentioned.
NZDUSD
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance is explicitly mentioned.
USDCAD
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance is explicitly mentioned.
USDCHF
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance is explicitly mentioned.
USDDKK
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance is explicitly mentioned.
USDJPY
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance is explicitly mentioned.
USDNOK
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance is explicitly mentioned.
USDPLN
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance is explicitly mentioned.
USDSEK
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance is explicitly mentioned.
FULL
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outro_or_disclaimer
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-06-26
OPEN SOURCE
CHANNELSwissquote
From stocks to bonds | MarketTalk
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From stocks to bonds | MarketTalk
Swissquote • 2026-06-26 07:31:02 UTC
Apple's price increases, reaching up to 25%, are a direct response to rising memory chip costs, raising concerns about potential decreases in product demand.
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00:00–05:00
  • Apple's price increases, reaching up to 25%, are a direct response to rising memory chip costs, raising concerns about potential decreases in product demand.
  • Despite Micron's strong quarterly performance and a 15% increase in its stock price, the technology sector is facing a selloff primarily due to apprehensions regarding Apple's pricing strategy.
  • The US PCE inflation data aligned with expectations, contributing to a decline in US yields, with the 2-year yield falling to nearly 4% from over 4.20% earlier in the week.
  • The Hang Seng index is approaching bear market territory, having declined nearly 20% since its January peak, reflecting broader concerns within the technology sector.
  • SoftBank's stock, which serves as a proxy for AI investments, dropped by 13% amid worries about Apple's pricing and speculation regarding a potential delay in OpenAI's IPO.
  • Our interpretation: The current market dynamics suggest a rotation away from technology stocks towards non-tech sectors and bonds, as investors reassess risk amid rising geopolitical tensions and inflationary pressures.
INSTRUMENTS
AAPL
I 0.8 • C 0.9
Apple's significant price increases are directly discussed in relation to memory chip costs.
AUDUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses US PCE inflation data and its impact on yields.
EURUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses US PCE inflation data and its impact on yields.
GBPUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses US PCE inflation data and its impact on yields.
NZDUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses US PCE inflation data and its impact on yields.
USDCAD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses US PCE inflation data and its impact on yields.
USDCHF
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses US PCE inflation data and its impact on yields.
USDDKK
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses US PCE inflation data and its impact on yields.
USDJPY
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses US PCE inflation data and its impact on yields.
USDNOK
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses US PCE inflation data and its impact on yields.
USDPLN
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses US PCE inflation data and its impact on yields.
USDSEK
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses US PCE inflation data and its impact on yields.
FULL
05:00–10:00
  • Chinese technology companies are facing intense competition that is compressing profit margins and dampening investor interest, particularly as consumer sentiment in China remains weak.
  • Alibaba's stock has declined nearly 5% in the current trading session and has lost approximately 50% of its value since reaching a peak in October 2025, reflecting ongoing investor skepticism.
  • Despite benefiting from lower borrowing costs compared to their Western and Japanese counterparts, Chinese firms are struggling to demonstrate their ability to convert technological advancements into profitable outcomes, which is crucial for attracting global investment.
  • In Japan, rising inflation pressures have provided a modest boost to the yen, yet bond yields have not increased as investors pivot from equities to bonds, indicating a risk-off sentiment.
  • US and European futures are trending negative, with technology-heavy US indices leading the declines as market participants seek to mitigate risk exposure amid ongoing volatility.
  • The persistent decline in oil prices may facilitate a shift from technology stocks to non-technology sectors and bonds, as investors reassess their risk profiles in light of changing market conditions.
  • Our interpretation: The current market dynamics suggest a potential reallocation of capital from technology equities to bonds and non-tech sectors, driven by concerns over profit margins and inflationary pressures, which could influence future monetary policy decisions.
INSTRUMENTS
HANGSENG
I 0.6 • C 0.7
The block discusses the performance of Chinese technology stocks, which are reflected in the Hang Seng index.
NIKKEI225
I 0.6 • C 0.7
The block discusses Japan's market dynamics, which can affect the Nikkei index.
AUDJPY
I 0.4 • C 0.7
Japan's rising inflation pressures are mentioned, which can affect the yen.
EURJPY
I 0.4 • C 0.7
Japan's rising inflation pressures are mentioned, which can affect the yen.
GBPJPY
I 0.4 • C 0.7
Japan's rising inflation pressures are mentioned, which can affect the yen.
USDJPY
I 0.4 • C 0.7
Japan's rising inflation pressures are mentioned, which can affect the yen.
FULL
10:00–15:00
outro_or_disclaimer
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-06-25
OPEN SOURCE
CHANNELSwissquote
Micron-backed sugar rush ahead of US data | MarketTalk
BLOCKS
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05:00
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Micron-backed sugar rush ahead of US data | MarketTalk
Swissquote • 2026-06-25 08:00:29 UTC
Micron's strong earnings report and guidance have renewed confidence in AI-driven demand for memory chips and data infrastructure, boosting technology stocks globally after a period of heavy selling.
FULL
00:00–05:00
  • Micron's strong earnings report and guidance have renewed confidence in AI-driven demand for memory chips and data infrastructure, boosting technology stocks globally after a period of heavy selling.
  • The upcoming US GDP and PCE inflation data are critical, as they may influence investor sentiment regarding the potential for prolonged high interest rates, which have negatively impacted technology companies recently.
  • European stock markets are experiencing a favorable macroeconomic setup, with the European 10-year yield falling to 2.86%, the lowest since March 10.
  • Oil prices have dropped below $70 per barrel due to a combination of strategic inventory releases and reduced demand from China, which may lead to further weakness in oil prices.
  • The speaker forecasts that oil prices could fluctuate between $60 to $80 per barrel in the coming months, with geopolitical risks in the Middle East continuing to influence supply dynamics.
  • The US two-year yield, which reflects Federal Reserve rate expectations, reached 4.13% after hitting a 1.5-year high earlier in the week, impacting technology-heavy US indices.
  • Our interpretation: The interplay between Micron's performance and upcoming economic data suggests that technology stocks may face volatility, particularly if inflation data reinforces the case for sustained high interest rates.
INSTRUMENTS
MU
I 0.9 • C 0.9
Micron's strong earnings report is central to the discussion.
AUDUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses US GDP and PCE inflation data, which are critical for USD expectations.
EURUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses US GDP and PCE inflation data, which are critical for USD expectations.
GBPUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses US GDP and PCE inflation data, which are critical for USD expectations.
NZDUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses US GDP and PCE inflation data, which are critical for USD expectations.
USDCAD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses US GDP and PCE inflation data, which are critical for USD expectations.
USDCHF
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses US GDP and PCE inflation data, which are critical for USD expectations.
USDDKK
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses US GDP and PCE inflation data, which are critical for USD expectations.
USDJPY
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses US GDP and PCE inflation data, which are critical for USD expectations.
USDNOK
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses US GDP and PCE inflation data, which are critical for USD expectations.
USDPLN
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses US GDP and PCE inflation data, which are critical for USD expectations.
USDSEK
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses US GDP and PCE inflation data, which are critical for USD expectations.
FULL
05:00–10:00
  • Micron's earnings exceeded expectations, with projected sales between 49 to 51 billion US dollars, significantly higher than the 45 billion US dollars anticipated by analysts.
  • The stock price surged by 15%, reaching approximately $1200, positively influencing sentiment across AI and technology stocks.
  • The upcoming US GDP and inflation data, particularly the PCE figures, are crucial as they could potentially reverse the current positive market sentiment following Micron's results.
  • The headline PCE is anticipated to surpass 4% year-over-year, while the core PCE may increase from 3.3% to 3.4%, both exceeding the Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target.
  • The Federal Reserve's focus on achieving price stability may lead to tighter monetary policy if inflation remains elevated.
  • Our interpretation: The interplay between Micron's strong performance and the forthcoming economic data suggests that technology stocks may experience volatility, especially if inflation data supports the case for sustained high interest rates.
INSTRUMENTS
MU
I 1.0 • C 1.0
Micron's strong earnings report is central to the discussion.
AUDUSD
I 1.0 • C 1.0
The block discusses US GDP and PCE inflation data, which are directly tied to the USD.
EURUSD
I 1.0 • C 1.0
The block discusses US GDP and PCE inflation data, which are directly tied to the USD.
GBPUSD
I 1.0 • C 1.0
The block discusses US GDP and PCE inflation data, which are directly tied to the USD.
NZDUSD
I 1.0 • C 1.0
The block discusses US GDP and PCE inflation data, which are directly tied to the USD.
USDCAD
I 1.0 • C 1.0
The block discusses US GDP and PCE inflation data, which are directly tied to the USD.
USDCHF
I 1.0 • C 1.0
The block discusses US GDP and PCE inflation data, which are directly tied to the USD.
USDDKK
I 1.0 • C 1.0
The block discusses US GDP and PCE inflation data, which are directly tied to the USD.
USDJPY
I 1.0 • C 1.0
The block discusses US GDP and PCE inflation data, which are directly tied to the USD.
USDNOK
I 1.0 • C 1.0
The block discusses US GDP and PCE inflation data, which are directly tied to the USD.
USDPLN
I 1.0 • C 1.0
The block discusses US GDP and PCE inflation data, which are directly tied to the USD.
USDSEK
I 1.0 • C 1.0
The block discusses US GDP and PCE inflation data, which are directly tied to the USD.
FULL
10:00–15:00
outro_or_disclaimer
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-06-24
OPEN SOURCE
CHANNELSwissquote
All eyes on Micron earnings! | MarketTalk
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All eyes on Micron earnings! | MarketTalk
Swissquote • 2026-06-24 07:56:37 UTC
Technology stocks are under pressure from rising bond yields and concerns over AI-related spending, challenging the recent market rally.
FULL
00:00–05:00
  • Technology stocks are under pressure from rising bond yields and concerns over AI-related spending, challenging the recent market rally.
  • Micron is expected to announce strong quarterly results, but it remains uncertain if this will be enough to stop the decline in technology and AI stocks.
  • The recent selloff in technology stocks follows a hawkish Federal Reserve announcement, indicating potential interest rate hikes to combat inflation exceeding 4%.
  • Technology companies have been issuing substantial debt to finance AI infrastructure, increasing their vulnerability to rising interest rates.
  • The Korean Cosby index saw a significant drop of 10% in one session, driven by volatility in memory chip stocks like Micron and Samsung, which have previously experienced substantial gains.
  • Our interpretation: The current market dynamics suggest that rising interest rates and high valuations in the technology sector could lead to a deeper correction, particularly for AI-related stocks, as the cost of debt increases and future revenue projections are discounted more heavily.
INSTRUMENTS
MU
I 0.8 • C 0.9
Micron is expected to announce strong quarterly results, making it central to the discussion.
AUDUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses rising bond yields and potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
EURUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses rising bond yields and potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
GBPUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses rising bond yields and potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
NZDUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses rising bond yields and potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
USDCAD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses rising bond yields and potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
USDCHF
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses rising bond yields and potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
USDDKK
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses rising bond yields and potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
USDJPY
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses rising bond yields and potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
USDNOK
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses rising bond yields and potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
USDPLN
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses rising bond yields and potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
USDSEK
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses rising bond yields and potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
FULL
05:00–10:00
  • The US 2-year yield is consolidating near its highest levels in 1.5 years, contributing to stress in technology stocks.
  • US crude oil prices have retreated to below $73 per barrel, impacting European indices that are less exposed to technology and AI.
  • The FTSE 100 outperformed US peers by closing the session near flat, despite being affected by energy and mining stocks.
  • The downside risk for precious metals remains as rising US yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-interest bearing metals.
  • Micron is expected to release strong quarterly earnings, but these results may already be priced in, given the company's recent trading history.
  • Micron's earnings could significantly influence the market's direction for technology stocks, as high expectations are already built into its valuation.
  • Our interpretation: The current market dynamics suggest that rising interest rates and high valuations in the technology sector could lead to a deeper correction, particularly for AI-related stocks, as the cost of debt increases and future revenue projections are discounted more heavily.
INSTRUMENTS
MU
I 0.8 • C 0.9
Micron's earnings are a central focus of the discussion.
AUDUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses rising US yields, which directly relates to USD.
EURUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses rising US yields, which directly relates to USD.
GBPUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses rising US yields, which directly relates to USD.
NZDUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses rising US yields, which directly relates to USD.
USDCAD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses rising US yields, which directly relates to USD.
USDCHF
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses rising US yields, which directly relates to USD.
USDDKK
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses rising US yields, which directly relates to USD.
USDJPY
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses rising US yields, which directly relates to USD.
USDNOK
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses rising US yields, which directly relates to USD.
USDPLN
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses rising US yields, which directly relates to USD.
USDSEK
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses rising US yields, which directly relates to USD.
FULL
10:00–15:00
outro_or_disclaimer
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-06-23
OPEN SOURCE
CHANNELSwissquote
Tech under pressure | MarketTalk
BLOCKS
00:00
05:00
2 intervals • swipe left
Tech under pressure | MarketTalk
Swissquote • 2026-06-23 07:50:31 UTC
Technology stocks are under pressure due to concerns about excessive AI spending, rising debt financing, and stretched valuations.
FULL
00:00–05:00
  • Technology stocks are under pressure due to concerns about excessive AI spending, rising debt financing, and stretched valuations.
  • Falling oil prices are alleviating inflation concerns in the Euro area, enhancing the outlook for European equities.
  • The European Central Bank is anticipated to raise interest rates one more time this year, although this is already reflected in market pricing.
  • The Stoxx 600 index is positioned to reach new all-time highs as appetite for technology stocks diminishes.
  • SpaceX's plan to borrow up to $20 billion has sparked worries regarding excessive AI infrastructure spending, affecting major technology stocks.
  • Our interpretation: The decline in oil prices may reduce inflationary pressures in the Euro area, potentially prompting a shift in investor focus from US technology stocks to more cyclical European equities, especially as expectations for ECB tightening ease amid rising debt levels in the tech sector.
INSTRUMENTS
STOXX600
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The Stoxx 600 index is mentioned as positioned to reach new all-time highs.
EURCHF
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses falling oil prices easing inflation concerns in the Euro area.
EURGBP
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses falling oil prices easing inflation concerns in the Euro area.
EURJPY
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses falling oil prices easing inflation concerns in the Euro area.
EURPLN
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses falling oil prices easing inflation concerns in the Euro area.
EURUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses falling oil prices easing inflation concerns in the Euro area. Also: The block mentions US technology stocks and the potential shift in investor focus.
WTI
I 0.5 • C 0.7
Falling oil prices are discussed as a factor affecting inflation expectations.
AUDUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.6
The block mentions US technology stocks and the potential shift in investor focus.
GBPUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.6
The block mentions US technology stocks and the potential shift in investor focus.
NZDUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.6
The block mentions US technology stocks and the potential shift in investor focus.
USDCAD
I 0.4 • C 0.6
The block mentions US technology stocks and the potential shift in investor focus.
USDCHF
I 0.4 • C 0.6
The block mentions US technology stocks and the potential shift in investor focus.
FULL
05:00–10:00
  • The UK government allocates approximately 8-9% of its revenues to interest payments, underscoring significant fiscal challenges.
  • The 10-year yield in the UK has surged from about 1% in June 2016 to nearly 4.80% recently, reflecting a substantial rise in borrowing costs over the past decade.
  • Political uncertainty in the UK has intensified following the resignation of Kia Starmer, with Andy Burnham poised to assume leadership in September.
  • Investment attractiveness in the UK, particularly in the North Sea oil and gas sector, is under scrutiny due to repeated windfall taxes.
  • The shift in the UK's migration composition, with fewer high-earning European workers and an increase in lower-income migrants, raises concerns about tax revenues and public finance sustainability.
  • Our interpretation: The combination of political instability, escalating debt, and rising interest payments in the UK could exert downward pressure on the GBP, particularly if the new leadership does not effectively tackle productivity and growth issues.
INSTRUMENTS
GBPUSD
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The GBP is directly affected by the UK's fiscal challenges and political changes discussed in the block.
EURGBP
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses UK fiscal challenges and political instability, which can affect the GBP.
GBPJPY
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses UK fiscal challenges and political instability, which can affect the GBP.
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