2026-06-12 07:50 UTC
Confirmation of breakdown with strong bearish candle.
Evidence The candle on 2026-06-08 had a long upper wick and closed near the low.
Continuation of breakdown with another bearish candle.
Evidence The candle on 2026-06-09 closed significantly below the previous support level.
Price is attempting to reclaim the lost support level.
Evidence The candle on 2026-06-10 shows indecision with a close above VWAP.
Bullish lower wick rejection indicating potential support.
Evidence The candle on 2026-06-11 has a long lower wick and closed above VWAP.
High volume on breakdown confirmation candle.
Evidence Volume on 2026-06-08 was significantly above average, indicating strong selling pressure.
Sustained high volume on continued breakdown.
Evidence Volume on 2026-06-09 remained elevated, supporting the bearish move.
Hold the current short position as the bearish thesis remains valid.
HOLD SHORT
Hold the current short position as the bearish thesis remains valid.
The current short position is based on a breakdown retest regime with strong selling pressure. Despite a bullish lower wick rejection on the latest candle, the price has not reclaimed the key support level at 290.23, which is crucial for invalidating the bearish thesis.
- The candle on 2026-06-08 confirmed the breakdown with high volume.
- The candle on 2026-06-09 continued the breakdown with sustained selling pressure.
- The candle on 2026-06-10 shows indecision with a close above VWAP, indicating potential for further downside if support is not reclaimed.
Monitor if price can reclaim 290.23 or if it continues to face resistance.