2026-06-18 10:10 UTC
Open a short position on EURUSD due to strong bearish macro and technical evidence.
Open a short position on EURUSD due to strong bearish macro and technical evidence.
The decision to open a short position is supported by both technical and macro evidence. The technical analysis indicates a breakdown with strong selling pressure, confirmed by high volume and a bearish candle. Macro evidence supports this with a bearish outlook for the Euro against the US Dollar due to stronger economic growth, higher interest rates, and better confidence indicators in the US compared to the Euro Area.
The Euro Area is experiencing negative GDP growth and lower inflation rates, with a stable unemployment rate. Business confidence is slightly negative, and the current account surplus is decreasing.
The United States is experiencing positive GDP growth and higher inflation rates, with stable unemployment. Business and consumer confidence are improving, and the current account deficit is decreasing.
Monitor upcoming ECB and Fed meetings for any changes in interest rate policies.
Macro analysis 3 claims Open analysis Close analysis
The transmission of economic conditions between the Euro Area and the US suggests that the stronger economic performance and higher interest rates in the US are likely to support the USD against the Euro. The Euro Area's weaker growth and lower inflation reduce the likelihood of aggressive monetary tightening, which contrasts with the US's economic environment.
- Higher GDP growth rate in the US compared to the Euro Area.
- Higher interest rates in the US.
- Stronger business and consumer confidence in the US.
- Potential changes in ECB monetary policy.
- Unexpected economic shocks in the US or Euro Area.
Evidence report 3 claims Open evidence
The US GDP growth rate is higher than the Euro Area's.
- Formula
- base_last - quote_last
- Input
- -0.2 - 1.6
- Calculation
- -0.2 - 1.6 = -1.8
- Value
- -1.8
The US interest rate is higher than the Euro Area's.
- Formula
- base_last - quote_last
- Input
- 2.4 - 3.75
- Calculation
- 2.4 - 3.75 = -1.35
- Value
- -1.35
US business confidence is significantly higher than in the Euro Area.
- Formula
- compare levels
- Input
- -0.26 vs 54
- Calculation
- -0.26 vs 54
- Value
- US confidence is significantly higher




