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INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-07-17
OPEN SOURCE
CHANNELInvestor's Business Daily
Dip Buyers Beware? Watch These Levels; Cloudflare, F5, Brinker In Focus | Stock Market Today
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Dip Buyers Beware? Watch These Levels; Cloudflare, F5, Brinker In Focus | Stock Market Today
Investor's Business Daily • 2026-07-17 21:12:12 UTC
The Nasdaq composite closed down approximately 1.4%, reflecting a challenging market environment as it struggled to maintain upward momentum.
FULL
00:00–05:00
  • The Nasdaq composite closed down approximately 1.4%, reflecting a challenging market environment as it struggled to maintain upward momentum.
  • The S&P 500 experienced a decline of about 1%, with blue-chip stocks also facing losses, indicating broader market weakness.
  • The Dow finished below the 21-day moving average for the first time in a significant period, suggesting potential bearish sentiment.
  • The Russell 2000 index fell back below the 21-day line but remained above the 50-day line, which may act as a support level in the near term.
  • Market conditions have been notably choppy, complicating trading strategies, particularly during periods of sideways movement.
  • The Nasdaq's closing level at 25,520 is below a critical reversal low of 25,526, reinforcing a bearish trend in the index.
  • Our interpretation: The current market dynamics indicate a potential shift in investor sentiment, with the Nasdaq's failure to hold above key levels suggesting a risk-off environment that could impact future trading strategies and highlight the importance of monitoring the USD liquidity and rate differentials.
INSTRUMENTS
NASDAQ100
I 0.9 • C 0.9
The block discusses the Nasdaq's performance and critical levels directly.
SP500
I 0.8 • C 0.8
The S&P 500's decline is mentioned, indicating broader market weakness.
DOWJONES
I 0.7 • C 0.7
The Dow's performance is relevant to the overall market discussion.
AUDUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The discussion of market dynamics and investor sentiment suggests a connection to USD liquidity.
EURUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The discussion of market dynamics and investor sentiment suggests a connection to USD liquidity.
GBPUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The discussion of market dynamics and investor sentiment suggests a connection to USD liquidity.
NZDUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The discussion of market dynamics and investor sentiment suggests a connection to USD liquidity.
USDCAD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The discussion of market dynamics and investor sentiment suggests a connection to USD liquidity.
USDCHF
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The discussion of market dynamics and investor sentiment suggests a connection to USD liquidity.
USDDKK
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The discussion of market dynamics and investor sentiment suggests a connection to USD liquidity.
USDJPY
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The discussion of market dynamics and investor sentiment suggests a connection to USD liquidity.
USDNOK
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The discussion of market dynamics and investor sentiment suggests a connection to USD liquidity.
FULL
05:00–10:00
  • Despite some dip buyers attempting to support stocks, the market closed down by 1.5%, indicating persistent bearish sentiment.
  • The failure to close above the previous low suggests that buyers lack the strength to maintain current levels.
  • Many leading stocks, especially in the AI sector, have seen declines exceeding 40%, reflecting a significant shift in market leadership.
  • The NASDAQ is nearing a critical support level at 25,000, which aligns with lows from June, raising concerns about potential further declines if breached.
  • Without a significant catalyst, such as easing geopolitical tensions or strong earnings reports, the market is likely to remain choppy.
  • Our interpretation: The current market dynamics indicate a heightened risk of further downside, particularly if the NASDAQ fails to hold above the 25,000 level, which could trigger broader sell-offs in equities and increased volatility in technology and growth stocks.
INSTRUMENTS
NASDAQ100
I 1.0 • C 1.0
The NASDAQ is discussed as nearing a critical support level.
AAPL
I 0.8 • C 0.8
Apple is a leading stock in the NASDAQ and is affected by the overall market sentiment.
MSFT
I 0.8 • C 0.8
Microsoft is another key player in the NASDAQ and is influenced by the same market dynamics.
NVDA
I 0.8 • C 0.8
Nvidia is a significant stock in the AI sector, which has seen declines.
FULL
10:00–15:00
  • The equal-weighted S&P 500 (RSP) remains close to all-time highs but shows a concerning trend of starting strong and finishing weak, reflecting a troubling market personality.
  • Current market conditions are not favorable for a power trend, as indicated by the narrowing gap between the 21-day and 50-day moving averages.
  • A close below the 50-day moving average serves as a warning sign, with the S&P still above the reversal low from earlier in the month but remaining vulnerable.
  • The NASDAQ 100 has tested lows and undercut the 7-8 reversal low, suggesting a more severe situation compared to the broader market.
  • The presence of 'trap doors' in the market indicates that seemingly strong setups can quickly deteriorate, as seen with the recent performance of stocks like Dell.
  • Our interpretation: The current market dynamics suggest a heightened risk of further downside, particularly if the S&P fails to maintain its position above critical moving averages, which could lead to broader sell-offs.
INSTRUMENTS
SP500
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The S&P 500 is referenced as a benchmark for market performance.
FULL
15:00–20:00
  • The NASDAQ 100 is showing significant weakness, which is unexpected given the limited representation of financials in its market capitalization.
  • Caution is advised as the speaker prefers to tread lightly when market conditions appear uncertain.
  • The NASDAQ 100 is increasingly trading below the 50-day moving average, suggesting potential challenges ahead.
  • Energy, particularly oil and gas, is the only sector demonstrating strength, while most other sectors are experiencing declines.
  • The importance of maintaining watchlists is emphasized to identify stocks with relative strength during volatile market conditions.
  • Our interpretation: The current market dynamics indicate a cautious stance is warranted, as the NASDAQ 100's weakness below the 50-day moving average may foreshadow further declines, especially if energy prices fluctuate, impacting inflation expectations and monetary policy.
INSTRUMENTS
NASDAQ100
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses the NASDAQ 100's performance and its implications for market conditions.
AUDUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on NASDAQ weakness suggests potential implications for US market sentiment.
EURUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on NASDAQ weakness suggests potential implications for US market sentiment.
GBPUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on NASDAQ weakness suggests potential implications for US market sentiment.
NZDUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on NASDAQ weakness suggests potential implications for US market sentiment.
USDCAD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on NASDAQ weakness suggests potential implications for US market sentiment.
USDCHF
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on NASDAQ weakness suggests potential implications for US market sentiment.
USDDKK
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on NASDAQ weakness suggests potential implications for US market sentiment.
USDJPY
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on NASDAQ weakness suggests potential implications for US market sentiment.
USDNOK
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on NASDAQ weakness suggests potential implications for US market sentiment.
USDPLN
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on NASDAQ weakness suggests potential implications for US market sentiment.
USDSEK
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on NASDAQ weakness suggests potential implications for US market sentiment.
FULL
20:00–25:00
  • The SMH ETF closed down approximately 2.2% for the day and 9% for the week, marking its first close below the 10-week moving average since a significant upward movement.
  • A break below the 10-week moving average line indicates a shift in trend and market behavior, warranting caution in trading decisions.
  • While pullbacks can present opportunities, they should not be viewed as chances to catch the bottom during a downtrend.
  • The DRAM ETF has experienced an upside reversal, but the overall trend has already been compromised, suggesting a need for caution.
  • The HACK ETF, representing the cybersecurity software sector, is performing well with all moving averages in uptrends, contrasting with other sectors that are facing downtrends.
  • The KIE insurance ETF has shown a balance following a pullback, although it did not significantly participate in the recent market rally.
  • Our interpretation: The current market dynamics indicate a cautious approach is necessary, as the SMH's decline below the 10-week moving average may signal further downward pressure across sectors.
FULL
25:00–30:00
  • Insurance is often considered a defensive investment option for institutional investors who are required to maintain a fully invested position.
  • For investors seeking safety, the insurance sector presents a viable option.
  • The XBI ETF comprises 60% development biotech stocks, providing exposure to this segment while reducing the risks associated with individual stock investments.
  • The XBI ETF is modified equal-weighted and includes approximately 147 stocks, which helps to mitigate the risks of single stock fluctuations.
FULL
30:00–35:00
  • Cloudflare has demonstrated strong relative strength, rebounding from the 50-day moving average in mid-June.
  • The daily chart for Cloudflare reveals significant volatility, complicating progress.
  • The weekly chart provides a clearer view, smoothing out some of the daily fluctuations.
  • Weak closes and sharp breaks are evident within Cloudflare's stock base, highlighting potential risks.
  • The speaker advises managing risk by using today's low as a stop for trades.
FULL
35:00–40:00
  • Earnings for the stock are approaching in 10 days, complicating market decisions.
  • The importance of monitoring earnings from competitors and suppliers is emphasized, as they can impact market dynamics.
  • The presence of 'trap doors' in the market is noted, indicating that even stocks in an uptrend may experience sudden downturns.
  • The strategy of initiating positions with lighter weights is recommended in the current market environment, allowing for adjustments based on performance.
  • Our interpretation: The current market landscape, influenced by earnings season and geopolitical tensions, necessitates a cautious investment approach, prioritizing risk management and careful assessment of earnings reports on stock valuations.
FULL
40:00–45:00
  • The speaker highlights the necessity of protecting gains from recent market rallies, particularly after significant upward movements.
  • A larger drawdown in a portfolio requires a more substantial recovery to return to even, underscoring the importance of effective risk management.
  • The speaker cautions against maintaining positions in stocks based on the hope of a favorable earnings reaction, as this can lead to considerable portfolio losses.
  • Establishing a clear exit strategy is emphasized as crucial, especially in anticipation of potential volatility during earnings season.
  • The discussion references the importance of focusing on the trading process rather than solely on outcomes, as illustrated by concepts from Annie Duke's book 'Thinking in Bets'.
FULL
45:00–50:00
  • The speakers stress the need to analyze weekly charts to identify key levels and moving averages for managing gains.
  • They advocate for having a structured plan to trim positions based on market conditions, utilizing a scenario analysis approach.
  • The effectiveness of short-term moving averages in avoiding underperforming stocks, which can help traders mitigate risks.
  • Brian Shannon, a top trader, emphasizes the importance of patience and avoiding trades in low-odds situations.
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-07-17
OPEN SOURCE
CHANNELInvestor's Business Daily
Google, Tesla, GE Vernova Earnings Put AI Capex Under The Microscope | IBD
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Google, Tesla, GE Vernova Earnings Put AI Capex Under The Microscope | IBD
Investor's Business Daily • 2026-07-17 11:00:22 UTC
GE Vernova is projected to report a Q2 earnings increase of 84% to $3.19 per share, with revenue expected to rise 18% to $10.74 billion, highlighting strong financial performance.
FULL
00:00–05:00
  • GE Vernova is projected to report a Q2 earnings increase of 84% to $3.19 per share, with revenue expected to rise 18% to $10.74 billion, highlighting strong financial performance.
  • The focus is on GE Vernova's ability to convert its substantial $163 billion backlog into firm orders and revenue, especially amid increasing competition in the AI energy sector.
  • Concerns arise from a projected 17% decline in EPS for 2027, which adds to doubts about the sustainability of GE Vernova's growth despite its strong backlog.
  • Technical analysis shows GE Vernova's stock trading below the 50-day moving average, indicating a potential pullback ahead of the earnings report.
  • The anticipated earnings report is critical for assessing the company's ability to maintain its high valuation amidst slowing growth rates and the challenge of converting backlog into revenue.
  • Our interpretation: The market is closely watching GE Vernova's earnings as a signal for the broader AI energy sector's health, with implications for stock valuations and investor sentiment in the context of ongoing competition and growth sustainability.
INSTRUMENTS
GE
I 1.0 • C 1.0
GE Vernova's earnings report is a central focus of the analysis.
GOOGL
I 0.5 • C 0.8
Google's capital expenditures are mentioned as part of the competitive landscape.
TSLA
I 0.5 • C 0.8
Tesla is included in the discussion of key upcoming earnings reports.
FULL
05:00–10:00
  • Google is anticipated to report Q2 earnings with a 24% increase to $287 per share and a 21% rise in revenue to $16.54 billion.
  • Key updates on capital expenditures, cloud business performance, order backlog, and AI monetization are critical for Google's upcoming earnings report.
  • Concerns exist regarding potential shifts of enterprise customers from Google's Gemini to lower-cost Chinese open-source models, which may affect Google's competitive edge.
  • Google's capital expenditures were unexpectedly raised to a range of $180 billion to $190 billion for the year, approximately double the amount spent in 2025.
  • The current sentiment towards AI stocks is bearish, despite Google's strong earnings potential, indicating a challenging environment for the sector.
  • Our interpretation: The disconnect between investor expectations and Google's substantial capital expenditure plans could lead to negative sentiment in the AI sector if clear returns on investment are not demonstrated, potentially impacting tech stock valuations.
INSTRUMENTS
GOOGL
I 1.0 • C 1.0
Google's earnings report and capital expenditure plans are directly discussed.
FULL
10:00–15:00
  • Google is considered the best positioned among mega-cap stocks, but a strong earnings reaction is essential for maintaining investor confidence.
  • The need for Google to demonstrate effective monetization is critical, as anticipated growth for the next year is weak due to elevated spending levels.
  • While capital expenditures (CapEx) do not directly reduce earnings, immediate spending can strain cash flow, highlighting the necessity for growth to support ongoing expenditures.
  • Tesla's Q2 earnings are projected to increase by 30% to 52 cents per share, with revenue expected to rise 16% to $25.99 billion.
  • The focus for Tesla will be on advancements in self-driving technology and robotics, with concerns that rising CapEx could lead to negative cash flow.
  • Tesla's stock may not respond positively to strong delivery numbers if investor sentiment remains negative regarding the company's outlook.
  • Our interpretation: The market is likely reassessing the sustainability of growth for both Google and Tesla, with a particular focus on their ability to manage spending and deliver on earnings expectations, which could influence stock performance and investor sentiment.
INSTRUMENTS
GOOGL
I 1.0 • C 1.0
Google's earnings and spending are central to the discussion.
TSLA
I 1.0 • C 1.0
Tesla's projected earnings and CapEx are discussed in detail.
FULL
15:00–20:00
  • Tesla's stock is currently trading below both the 200-day and 50-day moving averages, indicating a need for improvement in its price performance.
  • The 432 level is critical to watch as earnings approach, suggesting that a significant move to this level would be noteworthy.
  • Concerns exist that Tesla's stock has not made substantial progress over the past year and a half, despite some recent gains.
  • While EV sales have received a boost from higher gas prices, the overall earnings trend for Tesla has been declining.
  • The stock's performance appears disconnected from its fundamentals, with the narrative surrounding the company playing a significant role in market behavior.
  • Our interpretation: The current trading patterns of Tesla suggest that investor sentiment and narrative-driven factors may dominate market behavior, potentially leading to volatility in the stock as earnings reports are released.
INSTRUMENTS
TSLA
I 1.0 • C 1.0
Tesla's stock performance and trading patterns are directly discussed.
FULL
20:00–25:00
  • Northrop Grumman is currently in a long downtrend, trading below key moving averages, indicating a lack of growth in the defense sector.
  • RTX is performing better than other defense stocks due to its civilian contracts, particularly with Pratt and Whitney engines, but still shows no significant growth on the charts.
  • Lockheed Martin is also in a downtrend, struggling to retake the 50-day moving average, reflecting broader challenges in the defense sector.
  • CSX Corp is exhibiting a strong uptrend, suggesting potential strength in transportation stocks, although it may need to set up again before being actionable.
  • United Rentals has been holding the 50-day line, indicating a possible buying opportunity, despite limited AI exposure.
  • American Express is in a cup base with a recent uptrend, but concerns remain about its position among leading payment stocks.
  • Our interpretation: The mixed performance across sectors suggests that while some stocks may present buying opportunities, the overall market sentiment remains cautious, particularly in the defense and payment sectors.
INSTRUMENTS
RTX
I 0.8 • C 0.9
RTX is discussed as performing better than other defense stocks.
FULL
25:00–30:00
  • American Express is trading above the 200-day line, but its relative strength line is lagging, suggesting it may not lead compared to peers.
  • Interactive Brokers is currently testing the 21-day line and experienced a downside reversal on July 16th, with recent highs around the 97 level.
  • Many brokerages and financials faced negative impacts on July 16th, yet Interactive Brokers is setting up for potential action if it surpasses recent highs.
  • ANOVA International has seen a significant run since its breakout on June 9th and is now nearing a profit-taking zone.
  • ANOVA International may be due for a pullback, emphasizing the importance of monitoring for the next base formation.
  • Charles Schwab is working to consolidate after a gap up above the 200-day line, having previously broken the 50-day line in early February.
FULL
30:00–35:00
outro_or_disclaimer
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-07-16
OPEN SOURCE
CHANNELInvestor's Business Daily
Nasdaq Breaks Support As Chip Sell-Off Deepens; Knight-Swift, CP, ABBV In Focus | Stock Market Today
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Nasdaq Breaks Support As Chip Sell-Off Deepens; Knight-Swift, CP, ABBV In Focus | Stock Market Today
Investor's Business Daily • 2026-07-16 20:48:42 UTC
The Nasdaq composite declined by 1.5%, primarily driven by significant selling pressure in the technology sector.
FULL
00:00–05:00
  • The Nasdaq composite declined by 1.5%, primarily driven by significant selling pressure in the technology sector.
  • Unusual leadership in the Nasdaq 100 was observed from non-tech stocks such as KERIG, Doctor Pepper, and Old Dominion Freight Line.
  • Despite the Nasdaq's notable decline, market breadth was negative by less than 2 to 1, suggesting some underlying resilience.
  • The S&P 500 is currently testing its 10-day moving average, indicating it remains intact and not yet broken.
  • Throughout the day, the NYSE demonstrated positive breadth, contrasting with the selling pressure seen in the Nasdaq.
  • Our interpretation: The divergence in performance between the Nasdaq and S&P 500 highlights a potential shift in market dynamics, where non-tech sectors may be gaining traction, while tech stocks face increased selling pressure, potentially impacting future dollar liquidity and rate expectations.
INSTRUMENTS
ABBV
I 0.8 • C 0.9
AbbVie is mentioned as a stock to watch due to its earnings.
NASDAQ100
I 0.6 • C 0.7
The Nasdaq's performance is central to the discussion of market dynamics.
SP500
I 0.5 • C 0.6
The S&P 500's testing of moving averages suggests market resilience.
AUDUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion of selling pressure in tech stocks suggests potential impacts on dollar liquidity.
EURUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion of selling pressure in tech stocks suggests potential impacts on dollar liquidity.
GBPUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion of selling pressure in tech stocks suggests potential impacts on dollar liquidity.
NZDUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion of selling pressure in tech stocks suggests potential impacts on dollar liquidity.
USDCAD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion of selling pressure in tech stocks suggests potential impacts on dollar liquidity.
USDCHF
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion of selling pressure in tech stocks suggests potential impacts on dollar liquidity.
USDDKK
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion of selling pressure in tech stocks suggests potential impacts on dollar liquidity.
USDJPY
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion of selling pressure in tech stocks suggests potential impacts on dollar liquidity.
USDNOK
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion of selling pressure in tech stocks suggests potential impacts on dollar liquidity.
FULL
05:00–10:00
  • The Nasdaq is trading below the 50-day moving average, reflecting a bearish trend in the tech sector.
  • Recent volatility in the Nasdaq has resulted in significant price fluctuations around key support levels, including the 50-day and 21-day moving averages.
  • Increased selling pressure has been observed in the tech sector, particularly among memory and chip stocks, contributing to the Nasdaq's decline.
  • The Dow is performing similarly to the S&P 500, remaining near the 10-day moving average with several Dow stocks showing resilience.
  • Goldman Sachs saw a sharp decline of approximately 5% after a strong earnings report, indicative of typical market behavior where gains are quickly reversed.
  • The Russell 2000 is maintaining its position near the 21-day moving average, suggesting it remains in an uptrend despite broader market challenges.
  • Our interpretation: The current market dynamics indicate a shift where non-tech sectors may be gaining traction, while tech stocks face increased selling pressure, potentially affecting future liquidity and rate expectations.
INSTRUMENTS
GS
I 0.8 • C 0.9
Goldman Sachs is directly mentioned and discussed regarding its stock performance.
NASDAQ100
I 0.6 • C 0.7
The Nasdaq index is discussed in the context of market trends and tech sector performance.
FULL
10:00–15:00
  • Small caps are maintaining an uptrend despite broader market challenges.
  • The SMH ETF has breached a recent low, indicating ongoing weakness in the semiconductor sector.
  • The current pullback in chip stocks may be a normal phase as they consolidate gains from previous rallies.
  • The pullback in the semiconductor sector has been more pronounced, especially among D-RAM memory stocks, which show relative weakness.
  • The SMH is expected to attempt a rally to reclaim the 10-week line, though it may encounter resistance and require time to base.
  • Our interpretation: The persistent weakness in the semiconductor sector, particularly with the SMH underperforming and facing resistance at key moving averages, suggests potential further downside risk in tech equities, which could impact growth-oriented sectors as investors reassess their positions.
INSTRUMENTS
NASDAQ100
I 0.6 • C 0.7
The Nasdaq's performance is referenced in relation to the broader market dynamics.
FULL
15:00–20:00
  • JB Hunt's strong earnings report fueled a rally for the IYT transportation ETF and many transport stocks this week.
  • The healthcare sector, represented by the XLV ETF, bounced 2.2% after a pullback, indicating ongoing strength in various industry groups within healthcare.
  • Despite a good earnings report from United Health, managed care firms had an overall ugly day, with stocks like Humana failing to break out of a tight trading range.
  • XLV moved back into a buy zone and gapped above its 10-day moving average, suggesting it remains an actionable investment.
  • A cautious approach to new buys in individual stocks is warranted due to unclear leadership, indicating that sector and thematic ETFs may be a better strategy in choppy markets.
  • Our interpretation: The current market environment, characterized by mixed performance in individual stocks and sector strength, suggests that investors may benefit from focusing on ETFs to mitigate risk during uncertain conditions.
INSTRUMENTS
UNH
I 0.6 • C 0.8
United Health's earnings report is mentioned, indicating its relevance to the healthcare sector's performance.
FULL
20:00–25:00
  • The position in the biotech ETF XBI has been reduced to half due to a breach of the 21-day moving average, signaling profit-taking in the sector.
  • Night Swift Transportation (KNX) is experiencing a bounce following an orderly pullback, positioning it as a potential candidate for an options trade, especially after favorable earnings from JB Hunt.
  • Despite a composite rating of 50 for Night Swift, the potential for future earnings growth makes it a viable turnaround story worth considering.
  • Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) has rebounded from its 50-day moving average, presenting an actionable alternate buy point at 91.52.
  • The trucking sector remains robust, with expectations for strong earnings from Night Swift next week, reflecting positive trends in transportation stocks.
  • Our interpretation: The current market dynamics suggest a cautious approach to biotech investments while highlighting potential opportunities in transportation stocks, particularly as earnings reports may influence sector performance and investor sentiment.
FULL
25:00–30:00
  • Canadian Pacific is demonstrating strong relative strength within the transportation sector, which is currently benefiting from positive money flow.
  • The stock's 21-day ATR is 2.1%, indicating lower volatility compared to higher ATR stocks in the tech sector, which may react more significantly to earnings reports.
  • Canadian Pacific's earnings stability rank is 4, suggesting a solid earnings performance amidst market rotations.
  • The stock has surpassed an alternate entry point of 91.52, presenting a potential actionable opportunity for investors.
  • The transportation sector, including railroads like Canadian Pacific, is experiencing significant money flow, which could indicate favorable future performance.
  • Our interpretation: The current dynamics in the transportation sector suggest a potential for growth, particularly for stocks like Canadian Pacific, as they may benefit from increased investor interest and stability during earnings season.
FULL
30:00–35:00
  • ABBV is identified as a high-quality pharmaceutical company with a strong pipeline focused on immunology, oncology, and neuroscience, including a late-stage candidate for Parkinson's disease.
  • Despite ABBV's ratings being less favorable, recent earnings and sales figures have shown positive performance.
  • Netflix shares have declined by 7.5% following a revenue miss, highlighting the company's ongoing operational challenges.
  • The discussion points to Netflix's difficulties in maintaining viewer engagement and the necessity for innovative growth strategies amid a significant downtrend.
  • The importance of utilizing moving averages is emphasized as a strategy for determining optimal holding or selling points for stocks, particularly when they begin to decline.
FULL
35:00–40:00
  • As stocks rise, they may form later stage bases, which can signal a potential peak in performance.
  • The future performance of chip stocks remains uncertain, with possibilities of either establishing new bases and breaking out or facing additional weakness.
  • A collaborative analysis of market trends, with appreciation expressed for insights shared by Ken.
  • Market participants should monitor the behavior of chip stocks closely, as their ability to form new bases could indicate a shift in market dynamics.
  • Our interpretation: The current market analysis suggests that the performance of chip stocks will be pivotal in determining broader market trends, particularly in the context of potential shifts in investor sentiment and market stability.
INSTRUMENTS
AMD
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses the performance of chip stocks, indicating AMD's relevance.
NVDA
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses the performance of chip stocks, indicating Nvidia's relevance.
ABBV
I 0.6 • C 0.7
AbbVie is mentioned as a stock to watch, indicating potential relevance.
NASDAQ100
I 0.2 • C 0.7
The block discusses the Nasdaq's performance in relation to market trends.
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-07-15
OPEN SOURCE
CHANNELInvestor's Business Daily
How These Key Moving Averages Help Your Portfolio Stay Afloat In Choppy Markets | Investing With IBD
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How These Key Moving Averages Help Your Portfolio Stay Afloat In Choppy Markets | Investing With IBD
Investor's Business Daily • 2026-07-15 22:01:28 UTC
Brian Shannon emphasizes the significance of risk management, explaining that employing tight stops can result in frequent stop-outs but ultimately safeguards against substantial losses.
FULL
00:00–05:00
  • Brian Shannon emphasizes the significance of risk management, explaining that employing tight stops can result in frequent stop-outs but ultimately safeguards against substantial losses.
  • The conversation addresses the difficulties encountered in June 2026, particularly following the jobs report that disrupted market expectations regarding interest rate hikes.
  • Brian points out the recent market rotation, noting that while certain sectors have faced challenges, others, such as the MAG stocks, have recently experienced upward momentum.
FULL
05:00–10:00
  • The speaker highlights the five-day moving average on intraday charts, stating that if a stock is below this average and it is flat or declining, they will wait for trend alignment before making trades.
  • They emphasize that being in cash is preferable to incurring losses in a volatile market, underscoring the importance of patience.
  • The speaker utilizes a five-day simple moving average on intraday charts, adjusting it based on the latest trading data.
  • They occasionally take anticipatory positions if they believe that today's strong data will replace lower data from five days ago, potentially influencing the five-day moving average positively.
  • The speaker describes a strategy of using a gap up in a declining five-day moving average to identify entry points for trades, especially when the average flattens.
FULL
10:00–15:00
  • The speaker waits for a stock to regain the daily volume weighted average price (VWAP) after a gap up and pullback, indicating buyer control.
  • When entering a trade, the speaker emphasizes placing a stop below the morning low to align with the five-day moving average trend.
  • If a stock is trading below the VWAP, it suggests seller control, which can simplify trading decisions.
FULL
15:00–20:00
  • During earnings season, stocks that seem to have an ideal setup may have upcoming earnings reports, complicating trading decisions.
  • The speaker prefers not to buy stocks as they approach the 20-day moving average, viewing it as a level of interest rather than a buying point.
  • A stock's movement from 353 to 361 represents a 2.5% increase, and the speaker seeks a pullback to around 357.5 to 358 for a more favorable buying opportunity.
  • Institutional buyers may short shares in the pre-market to lower the opening price, allowing them to find liquidity before purchasing near the volume weighted average price.
  • If a stock pulls back to a specific level and then rallies, it could establish a higher low, which would minimize trade risk.
FULL
20:00–25:00
  • The speaker highlights the significance of position size when uncertain about a trade, indicating that a smaller position can help mitigate risk.
  • If a stock opens significantly lower due to earnings, it may not be a concern if it pulls back in an orderly manner and buyers regain control.
  • Once a trend is established, it is more likely to continue than to reverse, emphasizing the importance of higher highs and higher lows.
  • The speaker recommends buying on slight pullbacks and stresses the importance of quickly reducing risk by taking profits as the stock rallies.
  • A strategy of adjusting stop losses is suggested to minimize risk, with the idea that taking profits on a portion of the position can lower the overall cost basis.
FULL
25:00–30:00
  • GE has shifted focus from being a conglomerate to concentrating primarily on aerospace, energy, and healthcare sectors.
  • The stock exhibits low volatility, with a true range of just 2.5%, indicating it is a more stable investment option.
  • The speaker advises considering earnings reports when determining position size, recommending a maximum holding period of two to three days if earnings are approaching.
  • IBM recently experienced a significant earnings drop of 25%, underscoring the risks of holding stocks through earnings announcements.
FULL
30:00–35:00
  • The speaker highlights the necessity of avoiding stocks that are trading below a declining five-day moving average, as this signals a downtrend.
  • Buying stocks in downtrends is identified as a reliable method to incur losses.
  • A stock that is below both a declining 20-day and 50-day moving average is deemed unsuitable for purchase.
  • Prior support levels can serve as resistance, which is essential for identifying entry points during a downtrend.
  • The speaker recommends waiting for buyers to regain control before considering any purchases, particularly when earnings announcements are imminent.
FULL
35:00–40:00
  • Airbnb has established a trading range between 110 and 145, with potential for a breakout but likely to experience volatility.
  • The daily chart shows Airbnb maintaining a rising 20-day moving average, supported by two higher lows at 138 and 141.
  • A recent breakout in Airbnb surpassed the previous high from the 29th, followed by a pullback that could either fail or lead to further gains.
  • The speaker stresses the importance of analyzing historical support and resistance levels on charts.
FULL
40:00–45:00
  • The XBI is currently at the 20-day moving average, which typically serves as a support level.
  • The declining five-day moving average suggests potential risk in the current trend.
  • If the XBI rallies to 158 and stabilizes above the five-day moving average, it may create a buying opportunity for the upcoming days.
  • Confirmation of a higher high is essential before entering a trade.
FULL
45:00–50:00
  • The speaker highlights the necessity of minimizing losses and enhancing the probability of successful trades.
  • Profit taking is acknowledged as a typical aspect of an uptrend, which should not alarm long-term investors.
  • Caution is advised when investing in individual biotech stocks without a clear understanding of their fundamentals, using ORKA as an example of a stock lacking revenue and earnings.
  • The speaker refrains from taking full-size positions on short sales due to the inherent challenges and risks involved.
  • Successful transitions from trades to long-term holdings are noted, with TGTX and Sandisk cited as examples.
FULL
50:00–55:00
  • The discussion includes promotional content about advanced trading strategies and an upcoming event in Las Vegas.
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-07-15
OPEN SOURCE
CHANNELInvestor's Business Daily
Nasdaq Rallies Despite Chip Selling; Astera Labs, Liquidia, Invesco In Focus | Stock Market Today
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Nasdaq Rallies Despite Chip Selling; Astera Labs, Liquidia, Invesco In Focus | Stock Market Today
Investor's Business Daily • 2026-07-15 20:42:04 UTC
The NASDAQ composite rose by 0.6%, the strongest gain among major indexes.
FULL
00:00–05:00
  • The NASDAQ composite rose by 0.6%, the strongest gain among major indexes.
  • The S&P 500 and Dow increased by 0.4% and 0.3%, respectively, while the Russell 2000 gained approximately 0.4%.
  • In contrast, the NASDAQ 100 declined by 0.3%, revealing underlying weakness despite the NASDAQ composite's rise.
  • The financial sector demonstrated significant strength, bolstered by a positive earnings report from BlackRock that benefited Invesco.
  • The magnificent seven stocks performed well, particularly Apple and Google, while other AI stocks outside this group experienced notable declines.
  • Our interpretation: The divergence between the NASDAQ composite's performance and the NASDAQ 100's decline suggests a selective rally, with large-cap tech stocks driving gains while broader market weakness persists.
INSTRUMENTS
BLK
I 0.8 • C 0.9
BlackRock's earnings report was a key factor in the financial sector's strength.
AAPL
I 0.6 • C 0.8
Apple was mentioned as one of the best performers among the 'magnificent seven' stocks.
GOOGL
I 0.6 • C 0.8
Google was also mentioned as a strong performer in the market.
FULL
05:00–10:00
  • The NASDAQ composite increased by 0.6%, contrasting with a 0.3% decline in the NASDAQ 100, highlighting a performance divergence within the indices.
  • Despite the NASDAQ composite's rally, major chip stocks like Micron and Sandisk experienced minimal recovery, with some down by as much as 7%, indicating ongoing weakness in the sector.
  • ASML's stock rose by 3-4% in pre-market trading after the company raised its full-year revenue guidance, positioning it as a standout performer in a struggling tech landscape.
  • The financial sector demonstrated resilience, with XLF extending its gains and the regional bank ETF KRE showing strong performance, bolstered by robust earnings from key financial institutions.
  • While some former chip leaders are maintaining positions above their 10-week moving averages, many others are falling below, suggesting a challenging environment for technology stocks overall.
  • Our interpretation: The ongoing divergence in performance between the NASDAQ composite and the NASDAQ 100, coupled with the mixed results in the chip sector and the strength in financials, indicates a potential rotation in market leadership, which could influence future investment strategies and sector allocations.
INSTRUMENTS
ASML
I 0.8 • C 0.9
ASML's stock rose after raising its revenue guidance, indicating strong performance.
NASDAQ100
I 0.6 • C 0.7
The divergence between the NASDAQ composite and NASDAQ 100 indicates sector rotation.
FULL
10:00–15:00
  • The S&P 500 has demonstrated resilience after testing the 50-day moving average, stabilizing at a low of 72.94.
  • The Nasdaq is showing similar strength to the S&P 500, suggesting potential bullish sentiment despite concerns regarding previous market leaders.
  • The Dow Jones is on a steady uptrend, bolstered by strong performances from major financial institutions like JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs.
  • Small-cap stocks are maintaining relative strength, adhering to converging short-term moving averages.
  • The market is currently experiencing elevated distribution day counts in both the Nasdaq and S&P 500, which historically have not hindered ongoing uptrends.
  • Our interpretation: The current market dynamics, characterized by strength in the S&P 500 and Dow alongside elevated distribution counts, suggest a potential shift in leadership, with opportunities arising in sectors that may benefit from future buying interest.
INSTRUMENTS
GS
I 0.8 • C 0.9
Goldman Sachs is highlighted as a key player in the financial sector.
JPM
I 0.8 • C 0.9
JP Morgan is mentioned as a major financial institution showing strong performance.
DOWJONES
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The Dow Jones is noted for its steady uptrend.
SP500
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The S&P 500 is mentioned as demonstrating resilience and strength.
NASDAQ100
I 0.5 • C 0.7
The Nasdaq is showing strength despite some concerns.
FULL
15:00–20:00
  • Astera Labs is maintaining its 50-day moving average and has closed above its lows, indicating support.
  • With a market cap of $62 billion, Astera Labs is showing strong fundamentals and significant earnings estimates for 2026 and 2027.
  • Astera Labs is experiencing growth alongside CREDO, reflecting similar growth trajectories and price performances.
  • A test of the 10-week moving average for Astera Labs is expected, with a preference for a close in the upper half of the range to signal buyer support.
  • There have been notable increases in fund ownership for Astera Labs over the past year, with some funds in the IBD fund index beginning to take positions.
FULL
20:00–25:00
  • Liquidity is testing the 10-week moving average, which is a key indicator for its viability as a stock.
  • The company has recently achieved profitability after a loss in 2025, focusing on inhaled therapies for pulmonary arterial hypertension.
  • Sales growth for Liquidity has significantly increased, contributing to its strong stock performance.
  • The stock has been finding support at the 21-day line, a typical behavior for leading stocks during market pullbacks.
  • Buying off the 21-day line is viewed as an aggressive entry point for traders willing to accept higher risk.
FULL
25:00–30:00
  • Invesco's stock broke out above the 29.82 entry point, establishing a key pivot for traders.
  • The asset management sector, including Invesco, is showing positive price movement, driven by BlackRock's recent earnings report.
  • Despite being ranked in the lower half of industry group rankings, the investment management group may improve as more earnings reports are released.
  • T. Rowe Price is identified as another notable performer within the asset management sector, alongside Invesco.
  • Our interpretation: The positive momentum in the asset management group suggests potential trading opportunities, particularly as earnings season progresses and may lead to upward revisions in stock rankings.
INSTRUMENTS
BLK
I 1.0 • C 1.0
BlackRock's earnings report positively influenced the asset management sector.
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-07-14
OPEN SOURCE
CHANNELInvestor's Business Daily
Dog Days Of Summer Brings Challenges | SwingTrader Status Update
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Dog Days Of Summer Brings Challenges | SwingTrader Status Update
Investor's Business Daily • 2026-07-14 22:18:27 UTC
The market saw a recovery in July following a challenging start in June, which was unexpected given the initial downturn.
FULL
00:00–05:00
  • The market saw a recovery in July following a challenging start in June, which was unexpected given the initial downturn.
  • Mike Webster pointed out the disconnect between the NASDAQ composite and the S&P 500, reflecting mixed market conditions.
  • A close above the 21-day moving average is identified as a crucial indicator of a trend change, with observations of this occurring in various indexes.
  • The market has exhibited choppy behavior since October 10, indicating a prolonged period of uncertainty.
  • The host stressed the necessity of taking action when the market shows signs of moving above the 21-day moving average, as hesitation could result in missed opportunities.
  • Our interpretation: The ongoing choppy market conditions since October suggest a cautious approach for investors, as the disconnect between major indexes may indicate underlying volatility, potentially leading to risks in equities if the NASDAQ struggles to maintain levels above key moving averages.
INSTRUMENTS
NASDAQ100
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The block discusses the disconnect between the NASDAQ composite and the S&P 500.
SP500
I 0.5 • C 0.7
The discussion includes the S&P 500 in relation to market conditions.
AUDUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion of market conditions suggests potential impacts on US equities.
EURUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion of market conditions suggests potential impacts on US equities.
GBPUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion of market conditions suggests potential impacts on US equities.
NZDUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion of market conditions suggests potential impacts on US equities.
USDCAD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion of market conditions suggests potential impacts on US equities.
USDCHF
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion of market conditions suggests potential impacts on US equities.
USDDKK
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion of market conditions suggests potential impacts on US equities.
USDJPY
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion of market conditions suggests potential impacts on US equities.
USDNOK
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion of market conditions suggests potential impacts on US equities.
USDPLN
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion of market conditions suggests potential impacts on US equities.
FULL
05:00–10:00
  • Swing trading is particularly challenging in the current market environment, where unexpected movements can occur without warning.
  • The difficulty of timing trades is highlighted, as waiting for a pullback can lead to missed opportunities, as seen in April.
  • There is an emphasis on adjusting strategies to avoid repeating past mistakes from October to April, suggesting a more cautious approach to trading.
  • Sectors can appear strong for a few days before experiencing sudden downturns, referred to as 'trap doors'.
  • The S&P 500 has shown positive signs, with lows closing above the 21-day moving average for three consecutive days, indicating potential upward movement.
  • Our interpretation: The current market's choppy nature, characterized by sudden shifts and 'trap doors', suggests that traders should remain vigilant and adaptable. The need for a cautious approach is underscored by the potential for unexpected downturns, which could impact swing trading strategies and necessitate a reevaluation of risk management practices.
INSTRUMENTS
SP500
I 0.5 • C 0.8
The discussion highlights the challenges and potential movements in the S&P 500.
FULL
10:00–15:00
  • The team had to exit a trade after the stock broke the 21-day moving average, reflecting a shift in their trading strategy.
  • While the stock shows potential, it's crucial to differentiate between swing trading and position trading when making decisions.
  • The current market environment is described as a 'chop fest,' indicating a lack of clear direction.
  • Even quality stocks can experience pullbacks, and market feedback is essential for determining re-entry points.
  • A specific trading strategy involves waiting for a third day to confirm a potential reversal after a two and a half day down setup.
FULL
15:00–20:00
  • The AI sector has faced significant challenges, with some stocks experiencing declines of 25% despite a recent 7% increase.
  • Dell is noted as a strong performer, with the speaker identifying it as the best-looking chart currently, while also advising caution to avoid potential losses.
  • The concept of a high-tight flag is discussed, indicating a rapid advance followed by sideways movement, which could lead to substantial gains if it materializes.
  • The unpredictable nature of bubbles is emphasized, suggesting that while the AI bubble could last for varying durations, clear signals should be awaited before attempting to time the market.
  • There is uncertainty regarding the future trajectory of the AI sector, with the possibility of a pause but no clear indication of a downturn.
  • Our interpretation: The current volatility in the AI sector, marked by sharp declines and rebounds, suggests a complex market environment where significant price movements in stocks like Dell present both opportunities and risks, necessitating a careful approach to trading strategies.
FULL
20:00–25:00
  • Aggressive traders should note that high-tight flags frequently produce false starts, often requiring multiple attempts before a successful breakout occurs.
  • The identified right buy point for the discussed stock was approximately a week ago when it broke a downtrend, followed by a two-day upward movement before a pullback.
  • Despite the market's volatility, the speaker believes the current setup is robust enough to justify increasing their position, even with a high average true range (ATR) of 7%.
  • The current market environment is challenging, with many stocks, particularly in the software sector, showing mixed performance.
  • A specific stock, HAC, has demonstrated a 4.5% gain today, contrasting with the overall mixed performance of software stocks.
  • Our interpretation: The current market dynamics suggest a cautious approach, as the volatility and mixed signals from various sectors indicate potential risks in maintaining heavy positions. The high ATR and the need for careful monitoring of positions reflect a broader uncertainty in the market, which could lead to significant price swings and necessitate a more defensive investment strategy.
INSTRUMENTS
SP500
I 0.5 • C 0.7
The commentary on market volatility and mixed performance relates to broader market indices.
FULL
25:00–30:00
  • The speaker stresses the need for caution in trading due to recent experiences from market downturns between October and April.
  • While some stocks within the HAC ETF are performing well, others are underperforming, reflecting mixed sector performance.
  • ETFs provide a balancing effect by including both strong and weak stocks.
  • The RSP, an equal-weighted index, has been trending above the 21-day moving average, contrasting with the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, which have experienced downside reversals.
  • The speaker cautions that overanalyzing short-term market fluctuations can lead to confusion about the overall trend.
  • Our interpretation: The current market environment shows mixed performance across sectors, with ETFs like HAC offering some stability against volatility. The divergence between the equal-weighted RSP and heavily weighted indices suggests that while certain stocks maintain upward momentum, broader market trends remain uncertain, prompting a potential reassessment of portfolio strategies.
INSTRUMENTS
AVGO
I 0.8 • C 0.9
AVGO is mentioned as part of the HAC ETF, indicating its relevance in the current market discussion.
FULL
30:00–35:00
  • The speaker emphasizes caution regarding headline risk, particularly with oil stocks, as the market is currently below the 10 and 21-day moving averages.
  • Refiners are showing strong performance due to favorable crack spreads between their costs and selling prices.
  • There is hesitation to invest in oil stocks due to ongoing geopolitical tensions, especially concerning Iran.
  • Despite some oil stocks trending higher, the speaker remains cautious about making significant investments in this sector.
  • Our interpretation: The geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran introduce a risk environment that could lead to volatility in oil prices, affecting energy stocks and potentially prompting a reevaluation of investment strategies in this sector.
INSTRUMENTS
XOM
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The discussion on oil stocks and geopolitical tensions directly relates to ExxonMobil's operations.
BRENT
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The discussion on oil prices and geopolitical tensions also applies to Brent crude oil.
WTI
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses oil prices and geopolitical risks, which directly impact WTI crude oil.
FULL
35:00–40:00
  • The analysis indicates that oil services are underperforming, suggesting a potential shorting opportunity if prices approach the 50-day moving average.
  • There is a consideration to expand the investment strategy to include energy, with a planned exposure limited to 5-15%.
  • The importance of maintaining a cushion in trading is emphasized, as it allows for more aggressive investment strategies when market conditions permit.
  • Since June, the portfolio has primarily held cash, reflecting a cautious stance in response to recent market volatility and downturns.
FULL
40:00–45:00
  • Despite facing challenging days, the portfolio closed up for the month and outperformed the S&P 500.
  • Current sector weights reveal a substantial cash position, with the speaker prepared to deploy capital as opportunities arise.
  • The speaker stresses the importance of using one's equity curve to guide investment decisions, advising traders to reduce exposure when not trending positively.
  • Quality setups are prioritized, with a preference for A plus setups, but A setups are acceptable when below key moving averages.
  • Monitoring portfolio ATR is crucial, with levels above 4% indicating increased risk.
  • Our interpretation: The market environment suggests a cautious approach, as a potential breakout exists if the S&P 500 surpasses recent highs, but traders should be alert to downside risks if it falls below key moving averages, necessitating a reevaluation of risk exposure and investment strategies.
INSTRUMENTS
SP500
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The discussion centers on the S&P 500's performance and potential breakout levels.
FULL
45:00–50:00
  • The speaker recommends analyzing the market conditions of January 1999 to gain insights into trading strategies during challenging periods.
  • The first three quarters of 1999 exhibited a choppy market environment, mirroring recent market conditions, which necessitated strategic adaptability from traders.
  • Flexibility in trading is crucial, particularly in unpredictable market phases, as rigid reliance on indicators may lead to missed opportunities.
  • Traders should concentrate on individual setups rather than depending solely on overall market trends, as demonstrated by the volatility of stocks like AOL and Qualcomm in 1999.
  • The speaker advises maintaining a notebook to document trading decisions and reflections to enhance strategy development over time.
FULL
50:00–55:00
  • The speaker highlights the necessity of analyzing stock patterns daily to prevent falling for false positives in trading.
  • A method of testing knowledge through mystery stock analysis is discussed, emphasizing the importance of intellectual honesty in stock performance evaluation.
  • Traders are advised to disregard known outcomes when reviewing past market data to avoid bias in their analyses.
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-07-14
OPEN SOURCE
CHANNELInvestor's Business Daily
AI Hardware, Investment Banks Lead; Goldman Sachs, Dell, ASML In Focus | Stock Market Today
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AI Hardware, Investment Banks Lead; Goldman Sachs, Dell, ASML In Focus | Stock Market Today
Investor's Business Daily • 2026-07-14 20:43:26 UTC
The hosts report that the Nasdaq composite increased by 0.9% and the Nasdaq 100 rose by 1.1%.
FULL
00:00–05:00
  • The hosts report that the Nasdaq composite increased by 0.9% and the Nasdaq 100 rose by 1.1%.
  • The S&P 500 was up approximately 0.4%, while the Dow closed positively despite IBM's disappointing results.
  • IBM's recent sales trends indicate a shift in client spending from software to AI hardware.
  • The hosts highlight the significance of upcoming earnings reports from hyperscalers to assess spending patterns and market sentiment.
  • Chip stocks, including ASML, are experiencing volatility, with many stocks surpassing their 50-day moving averages but encountering resistance at their 21-day lines.
  • Our interpretation: The current market dynamics suggest a potential pivot in investment strategies, with a focus on AI hardware over software, which could lead to increased volatility in tech stocks. As earnings season approaches, insights from major players may clarify spending trends, impacting both equity valuations and market sentiment, particularly in the tech sector.
INSTRUMENTS
ASML
I 0.8 • C 0.9
ASML is directly mentioned as experiencing volatility in the context of chip stocks.
IBM
I 0.7 • C 0.8
IBM's disappointing results are discussed, indicating a direct impact on its stock.
GS
I 0.6 • C 0.7
Goldman Sachs is mentioned as a key stock to watch, indicating potential market relevance.
NASDAQ100
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The Nasdaq composite and Nasdaq 100 are discussed in the context of market performance.
FULL
05:00–10:00
  • Last week's lows could be concerning for longer-term holders, as it would mean giving up a significant portion of gains since April.
  • Many stocks have seen declines of around 30% in just a few weeks, indicating a tricky market environment.
  • While some stocks are holding up well, others that were previously big winners are now falling off, creating mixed market sentiment.
  • The importance of monitoring strategies for both adding to positions and considering exits is emphasized, given the current market volatility.
  • The S&P appears healthier compared to the NASDAQ, which is struggling to decide its direction amidst volatility.
  • The Dow has shown strength, with some stocks finding support at the 21-day line despite broader market challenges.
  • Our interpretation: The current market dynamics suggest a potential pivot in investment strategies, with a focus on AI hardware over software, which could lead to increased volatility in tech stocks.
INSTRUMENTS
IBM
I 0.7 • C 0.8
IBM is mentioned as a company affected by the shift in client spending from software to AI hardware.
NASDAQ100
I 0.3 • C 0.6
The block discusses volatility in tech stocks, which are primarily represented by the NASDAQ index.
FULL
10:00–15:00
  • Bank earnings have shown mixed results, yet the financial sector remains generally positive with solid overall performance.
  • Goldman Sachs demonstrated notable strength, preparing for its earnings report with a pullback while maintaining support above the key 50-day line.
  • Goldman Sachs reported a 9% increase in earnings, driven by significant activity in equity and bond trading, benefiting from market volatility.
  • While Goldman Sachs performed well, Citigroup faced a downside reversal, highlighting mixed results within the banking sector.
  • Goldman Sachs stands out as a strong performer in the banking sector, despite the overall mixed results from other banks.
  • Our interpretation: The contrasting performances of Goldman Sachs and Citigroup suggest a divergence in the banking sector's health, indicating potential for selective investment strategies that focus on stronger institutions while remaining cautious about those showing weakness.
INSTRUMENTS
GS
I 1.0 • C 1.0
Goldman Sachs is directly discussed as a strong performer in the banking sector.
FULL
15:00–20:00
  • Despite significant declines in some stocks, one stock has maintained its position above the 21-day line, indicating resilience.
  • An entry point was suggested at 444, but caution is warranted as the stock is becoming extended from the 10-week line.
  • The stock has shown volatility with some down days and could potentially drop 6% if the market declines.
  • The strength of the stock is notable within the AI theme, with no earnings risk until early September.
  • ASML, part of the chip equipment sector, is in an uptrend and approaching a critical earnings report that could lead to significant price movements based on guidance.
  • Our interpretation: The contrasting performance of stocks within the AI sector suggests that investors may need to adopt selective strategies, focusing on resilient stocks while being cautious of potential volatility.
INSTRUMENTS
ASML
I 0.8 • C 0.9
ASML is discussed in relation to its upcoming earnings report and market position.
FULL
20:00–25:00
  • The hosts discuss the potential for the upcoming earnings season to create buying opportunities instead of triggering sell signals, indicating a cautious optimism in market conditions.
  • They observe that both the NASDAQ and S&P indices have been forming tighter bases, suggesting a period of consolidation that could lead to significant price movements.
  • The importance of preparing watchlists and identifying potential setups is emphasized, as market conditions may shift rapidly during earnings announcements.
  • The hosts express enthusiasm for covering market news and developments, particularly during the earnings season, which could influence trading strategies.
  • A live stream event featuring insights from the swing trader team is mentioned, providing viewers with additional perspectives on current market dynamics.
  • Our interpretation: The current market environment suggests that if earnings reports lead to positive surprises, it could trigger a bullish sentiment, impacting stock valuations and potentially influencing USD liquidity as investors adjust their positions.
INSTRUMENTS
NASDAQ100
I 0.7 • C 0.8
The block discusses market conditions and indices, particularly NASDAQ, which is relevant to tech sector performance.
SP500
I 0.7 • C 0.8
The discussion on market consolidation and earnings season directly relates to the S&P 500 index.
ASML
I 0.6 • C 0.7
ASML is mentioned in the context of key stocks to watch, indicating its relevance to the tech sector.
AUDUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The discussion on earnings reports suggests potential shifts in market sentiment that could influence USD liquidity.
EURUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The discussion on earnings reports suggests potential shifts in market sentiment that could influence USD liquidity.
GBPUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The discussion on earnings reports suggests potential shifts in market sentiment that could influence USD liquidity.
NZDUSD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The discussion on earnings reports suggests potential shifts in market sentiment that could influence USD liquidity.
USDCAD
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The discussion on earnings reports suggests potential shifts in market sentiment that could influence USD liquidity.
USDCHF
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The discussion on earnings reports suggests potential shifts in market sentiment that could influence USD liquidity.
USDDKK
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The discussion on earnings reports suggests potential shifts in market sentiment that could influence USD liquidity.
USDJPY
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The discussion on earnings reports suggests potential shifts in market sentiment that could influence USD liquidity.
USDNOK
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The discussion on earnings reports suggests potential shifts in market sentiment that could influence USD liquidity.
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-07-13
OPEN SOURCE
CHANNELInvestor's Business Daily
How To Find The Next Golden Opportunities As AI Leaders Take A Breather | Monthly Market Report
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How To Find The Next Golden Opportunities As AI Leaders Take A Breather | Monthly Market Report
Investor's Business Daily • 2026-07-13 22:15:33 UTC
The NASDAQ has rallied 35% since the March lows, indicating a significant market movement.
FULL
00:00–05:00
  • The NASDAQ has rallied 35% since the March lows, indicating a significant market movement.
  • Jim Roppel notes a contraction in volatility, with narrower trading ranges being observed.
  • Several AI leaders, including Marvel and Intel, are attempting to find support but have broken their 50-day moving averages.
  • Roppel identifies 20 stocks that are holding above the 50-day moving average, reflecting mixed market performance.
  • The biotech sector has seen a notable rise, moving to number 23 out of 200, with 570 names in the sector.
  • Our interpretation: The current market dynamics suggest a digestion phase following the substantial NASDAQ rally, with potential risks for AI leaders as they face technical breakdowns. This could lead to a reassessment of growth expectations, impacting equities and possibly prompting a shift in investor focus towards sectors like biotech that are gaining traction.
INSTRUMENTS
AMD
I 0.8 • C 0.9
AMD is mentioned as a stock holding above the 50-day moving average.
ASML
I 0.6 • C 0.8
ASML is mentioned as part of the broader semiconductor discussion.
NASDAQ100
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The NASDAQ's significant rally is a central theme in the discussion.
FULL
05:00–10:00
  • Memory stocks have seen a significant decline, reflecting a volatile market environment.
  • The speaker reduced their hedges last Friday due to a broadening out in the market, indicating a more bullish outlook despite recent challenges.
  • Concerns are raised over the precarious positions of Intel and Marvall, indicating that not all stocks will perform well in the current market conditions.
  • The speaker emphasizes the importance of hedging strategies, having trimmed positions that became existentially threatening due to size and performance.
  • Our interpretation: The current market dynamics reflect a digestion phase following significant gains, with many stocks experiencing volatility and drawdowns. This environment necessitates careful management of positions, particularly in high-flying sectors like AI, where overleveraging may lead to increased risk.
INSTRUMENTS
MRVL
I 0.7 • C 0.8
Marvall is also mentioned as being in a precarious position in the market.
NASDAQ100
I 0.2 • C 0.7
The discussion of market dynamics and AI leaders suggests broader implications for tech indices.
FULL
10:00–15:00
  • After a dramatic move of 200-500% or more, stocks typically undergo a full basing period, indicating that names in the memory sector may require additional time to digest their gains.
  • Expectations have been significantly elevated due to substantial gains over the past three years, likened to a child's desire for instant gratification.
  • The market has rotated into sectors such as biotech, networking, security, and financials, suggesting a healthier market following the purging of excess.
  • Estimates for S&P earnings growth are projected at 20% this year, indicating that despite the market's rise, it has become more affordable.
  • Traders may need to temper their expectations, as many stocks might only achieve gains of 20-30%, contrasting with the higher returns some have recently experienced.
  • Our interpretation: The current market dynamics indicate a digestion phase for high-flying stocks, particularly in the memory sector, which may lead to a reallocation of capital towards more stable sectors like financials and biotech, suggesting a broader market correction and a reassessment of risk across various asset classes.
INSTRUMENTS
MU
I 0.8 • C 0.9
Micron is directly discussed in relation to its stock performance and market behavior.
TSLA
I 0.6 • C 0.8
Tesla is mentioned in the context of innovation and market expectations.
NASDAQ100
I 0.2 • C 0.7
The block discusses sector rotations and market dynamics affecting tech stocks broadly.
FULL
15:00–20:00
  • The speaker anticipates a significant reduction in labor costs, leading to an abundance of products and increased leisure time, which may extend waiting lists for activities like golf.
  • Despite the current lack of profitability among AI companies, there is a belief that this situation will improve as real-world applications of AI evolve.
  • Concerns are raised regarding the high costs of AI token usage, which may require companies to justify their investments in AI technologies.
  • Market corrections could happen if the expectations embedded in valuations do not materialize, potentially resulting in significant breaks below key support levels such as the 50-day moving average.
  • Innovation is expected to persist even during market corrections, as true innovators are motivated to create regardless of market conditions.
  • Our interpretation: While AI and tech sectors may face short-term profitability challenges, the ongoing innovation and potential for future growth remain robust. However, misalignment between market expectations and reality could lead to a reassessment of valuations, particularly in tech and AI, increasing volatility in equities.
INSTRUMENTS
NVDA
I 0.6 • C 0.8
Nvidia is a key player in the AI sector, which is discussed in terms of profitability and innovation.
AMD
I 0.5 • C 0.7
AMD is also a significant player in the AI and tech sectors, which are mentioned in the context of market performance.
MSFT
I 0.5 • C 0.7
Microsoft's involvement in AI technologies makes it relevant to the discussion on AI profitability.
AUDUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on AI profitability and market corrections suggests potential impacts on economic growth and inflation expectations.
EURUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on AI profitability and market corrections suggests potential impacts on economic growth and inflation expectations.
GBPUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on AI profitability and market corrections suggests potential impacts on economic growth and inflation expectations.
NZDUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on AI profitability and market corrections suggests potential impacts on economic growth and inflation expectations.
USDCAD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on AI profitability and market corrections suggests potential impacts on economic growth and inflation expectations.
USDCHF
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on AI profitability and market corrections suggests potential impacts on economic growth and inflation expectations.
USDDKK
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on AI profitability and market corrections suggests potential impacts on economic growth and inflation expectations.
USDJPY
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on AI profitability and market corrections suggests potential impacts on economic growth and inflation expectations.
USDNOK
I 0.4 • C 0.7
The discussion on AI profitability and market corrections suggests potential impacts on economic growth and inflation expectations.
FULL
20:00–25:00
  • The speaker highlights the necessity of integrating chart analysis with fundamental analysis in investment strategies, asserting that both elements are essential for effective decision-making.
  • Successful traders are predominantly bullish, with the speaker noting that bearish positions tend to be correct only for limited durations, typically ranging from one month to six months.
  • Managing positions around the 50-day moving average is described as an art form, with the speaker emphasizing the unpredictability and potential for errors in this process.
  • The speaker recounts a personal experience with SanDisk, mentioning that they reduced their position after the stock broke below the 21-day moving average.
FULL
25:00–30:00
  • The weakening relative strength in the market suggests a potential need for stocks to establish longer basing patterns as rotation occurs into other sectors.
  • NVIDIA is identified as a crucial stock to monitor, referred to as the 'King of the Jungle,' with recent trading volume surging and closing just above the 50-day moving average.
  • Concerns are raised regarding NVIDIA's ability to maintain its position above the 50-day moving average; failure to do so could indicate a false upward move and have negative repercussions for the broader market.
  • The speaker has allocated approximately 35% of their fund to the biotech sector, expressing optimism about specific stocks such as Eli Lilly, despite recent weakness in the stock.
  • The importance of major stocks like NVIDIA and JP Morgan as barometers for market direction, emphasizing that their performance is critical for overall market stability.
FULL
30:00–35:00
  • Earnings season presents a dual nature, acting as both a potential minefield and a launch pad for significant market movements, necessitating close monitoring of earnings reports.
  • Currently, 17 or 18 S&P companies have reported earnings, with an average miss of just 1%, while a substantial percentage have exceeded expectations by a larger margin.
  • There is optimism for substantial gap ups in lesser-known stocks that could significantly influence market outlooks.
  • The market is currently in a stagnant phase, characterized by declining volumes and many leading stocks experiencing downturns, which is creating opportunities for new bases to form.
  • A diversified portfolio is essential, with strong biotech names and networking companies like Cisco and Extreme being recommended for inclusion.
  • Our interpretation: The current market conditions, marked by low volume and the formation of bases, suggest that investors should be prepared for potential breakout opportunities as earnings reports unfold.
FULL
35:00–40:00
  • Cisco's fundamental metrics are weaker compared to Arista, which boasts a 47% pre-tax margin and 31% return on equity (ROE).
  • Credo demonstrates impressive triple-digit sales and earnings growth, with pre-tax margins and ROE in the range of 40-50%.
  • Credo's advanced copper cable technology enables faster data transfer over longer distances while maintaining cooler operation, enhancing overall performance.
  • The speaker underscores the significance of identifying stocks that maintain strength during volatile market conditions, using Marvel as a notable example that exhibited relative strength and led to substantial gains.
FULL
40:00–45:00
  • The speaker highlights that position size is crucial, noting that a large position can result in significant losses if there is a poor earnings report.
  • In a bull market, the speaker recommends initially investing 10 percent of their account in a stock during its breakout, with the potential to increase that to 20 percent based on performance.
  • The speaker frequently purchases a stock multiple times in a single day if it continues to rise, demonstrating an active management strategy.
  • The speaker cautions that market reversals often occur shortly after trading begins, especially following earnings reports, and advises waiting 30 to 45 minutes before making further purchases.
FULL
45:00–50:00
  • The crypto fear and greed indicator is currently at an extreme fear level of 11 out of 100, an unprecedented low.
  • For individuals with no exposure to crypto, dollar cost averaging over the next six months to a year is suggested as a strategy.
  • There is a noted disconnect between the fundamentals of many companies and their current market prices.
  • If Bitcoin fails to rise above the 200-day moving average, significant tax selling pressure could occur in December.
  • The crypto market is experiencing a stale bear market, with a 50% pullback observed.
  • Our interpretation: The extreme fear in the crypto market, combined with potential tax selling in December, may lead to further downside pressure on crypto assets, impacting liquidity and investor sentiment across related asset classes.
INSTRUMENTS
BTCUSD
I 1.0 • C 1.0
Bitcoin is directly discussed in relation to market performance and potential selling pressure.
AUDUSD
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The discussion on dollar cost averaging in crypto suggests a strong link to USD liquidity.
EURUSD
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The discussion on dollar cost averaging in crypto suggests a strong link to USD liquidity.
GBPUSD
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The discussion on dollar cost averaging in crypto suggests a strong link to USD liquidity.
NZDUSD
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The discussion on dollar cost averaging in crypto suggests a strong link to USD liquidity.
USDCAD
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The discussion on dollar cost averaging in crypto suggests a strong link to USD liquidity.
USDCHF
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The discussion on dollar cost averaging in crypto suggests a strong link to USD liquidity.
USDDKK
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The discussion on dollar cost averaging in crypto suggests a strong link to USD liquidity.
USDJPY
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The discussion on dollar cost averaging in crypto suggests a strong link to USD liquidity.
USDNOK
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The discussion on dollar cost averaging in crypto suggests a strong link to USD liquidity.
USDPLN
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The discussion on dollar cost averaging in crypto suggests a strong link to USD liquidity.
USDSEK
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The discussion on dollar cost averaging in crypto suggests a strong link to USD liquidity.
FULL
50:00–55:00
  • In bear markets, the speaker has previously utilized his 'war chest' to acquire stocks he deemed resilient, including Nvidia at approximately $3 during a downturn.
  • He employs a dual strategy for fund management, combining fundamental analysis with trend-following for intermediate-term trading and maintaining long-term holdings.
  • The crypto sector is experiencing rapid growth in adoption and utilization, though he cautions against making significant investments in individual stocks within this space.
  • He notes a shift in leverage practices over time, highlighting a more conservative approach to risk compared to his earlier experiences with borrowing against investments.
  • The speaker maintains a bullish outlook, suggesting that the current market cycle could generate more wealth than all of history combined, indicating potential for significant growth ahead.
  • Our interpretation: The combination of a bullish sentiment in the market and the speaker's cautious approach to risk suggests that investors may need to navigate carefully through potential volatility while seeking opportunities.
INSTRUMENTS
MSFT
I 1.0 • C 1.0
Microsoft is mentioned as a long-term holding in the speaker's portfolio.
NVDA
I 1.0 • C 1.0
Nvidia is directly discussed as a resilient stock acquired during a bear market.
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-07-13
OPEN SOURCE
CHANNELInvestor's Business Daily
Hormuz Troubles Help Oil Lead; Murphy USA, DINO, Humana In Focus | Stock Market Today
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Hormuz Troubles Help Oil Lead; Murphy USA, DINO, Humana In Focus | Stock Market Today
Investor's Business Daily • 2026-07-13 20:50:36 UTC
Major indexes opened lower and experienced a sell-off throughout the day, influenced by negative geopolitical developments.
FULL
00:00–05:00
  • Major indexes opened lower and experienced a sell-off throughout the day, influenced by negative geopolitical developments.
  • The S&P 500 closed down approximately 0.8%, while the NASDAQ saw a more significant decline of about 1.6%.
  • President Trump's announcement regarding the resumption of a blockade on Iran contributed to a notable increase in oil stock performance.
  • The NASDAQ ended below critical moving averages, signaling a challenging market condition.
  • Justin Nielsen highlighted the current market's choppy nature, drawing parallels to previous periods where establishing trends proved difficult.
  • Our interpretation: The combination of geopolitical tensions affecting oil prices and the inability of major indexes to maintain upward momentum suggests a cautious outlook for market participants, particularly in relation to potential volatility in the USD and broader market trends.
INSTRUMENTS
WTI
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The discussion of geopolitical tensions directly impacts oil prices.
NASDAQ100
I 0.6 • C 0.7
The NASDAQ's performance is highlighted in the context of market conditions.
SP500
I 0.6 • C 0.7
The overall market performance is discussed, particularly the S&P 500's decline.
AUDUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
Geopolitical tensions can influence oil prices, which are typically denominated in USD.
EURUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
Geopolitical tensions can influence oil prices, which are typically denominated in USD.
GBPUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
Geopolitical tensions can influence oil prices, which are typically denominated in USD.
NZDUSD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
Geopolitical tensions can influence oil prices, which are typically denominated in USD.
USDCAD
I 0.4 • C 0.7
Geopolitical tensions can influence oil prices, which are typically denominated in USD.
USDCHF
I 0.4 • C 0.7
Geopolitical tensions can influence oil prices, which are typically denominated in USD.
USDDKK
I 0.4 • C 0.7
Geopolitical tensions can influence oil prices, which are typically denominated in USD.
USDJPY
I 0.4 • C 0.7
Geopolitical tensions can influence oil prices, which are typically denominated in USD.
USDNOK
I 0.4 • C 0.7
Geopolitical tensions can influence oil prices, which are typically denominated in USD.
FULL
05:00–10:00
  • The equal-weighted S&P 500 index (RSP) is outperforming the NASDAQ and S&P 500 due to reduced influence from large-cap tech stocks.
  • The speaker maintains a cautious investment stance, being 60 to 70% invested amid current market volatility.
  • Thursday's low is identified as a critical support level for the NASDAQ composite, with emphasis on the need to hold above this level for potential market direction.
  • Caution is expressed regarding XLE's approach to the 50-day moving average, with potential headline risks impacting oil prices.
  • XOM and CVX constitute approximately 40% of the XLE index, highlighting their significant role in the energy sector's performance.
  • Our interpretation: The current market environment, marked by geopolitical tensions and volatility, necessitates vigilance regarding key support levels and potential shifts in energy prices, which could influence inflation expectations and monetary policy adjustments.
INSTRUMENTS
CVX
I 0.8 • C 0.9
CVX is also a key company in the energy sector mentioned in the context of oil price dynamics.
XOM
I 0.8 • C 0.9
XOM is a major player in the energy sector and is directly discussed in relation to oil price movements.
BRENT
I 0.7 • C 0.8
Brent crude is another major oil benchmark relevant to the discussion of oil price impacts.
WTI
I 0.7 • C 0.8
WTI is a key benchmark for oil prices, which are central to the block's discussion.
AUDUSD
I 0.5 • C 0.7
The discussion of geopolitical tensions and their impact on oil prices suggests a potential inflationary effect.
EURUSD
I 0.5 • C 0.7
The discussion of geopolitical tensions and their impact on oil prices suggests a potential inflationary effect.
GBPUSD
I 0.5 • C 0.7
The discussion of geopolitical tensions and their impact on oil prices suggests a potential inflationary effect.
NZDUSD
I 0.5 • C 0.7
The discussion of geopolitical tensions and their impact on oil prices suggests a potential inflationary effect.
USDCAD
I 0.5 • C 0.7
The discussion of geopolitical tensions and their impact on oil prices suggests a potential inflationary effect.
USDCHF
I 0.5 • C 0.7
The discussion of geopolitical tensions and their impact on oil prices suggests a potential inflationary effect.
USDDKK
I 0.5 • C 0.7
The discussion of geopolitical tensions and their impact on oil prices suggests a potential inflationary effect.
USDJPY
I 0.5 • C 0.7
The discussion of geopolitical tensions and their impact on oil prices suggests a potential inflationary effect.
FULL
10:00–15:00
  • A significant market move occurred, with stocks dropping over 9% as they undercut the 50-day moving average and recent lows, accompanied by strong trading volume.
  • The importance of the 50-day moving average was emphasized, indicating that its loss is detrimental, particularly for late entrants into trades.
  • Investors in stocks such as Micron, Western Digital, and Seagate may be experiencing panic as these stocks have declined approximately 30% from their recent highs.
  • Caution is advised for stocks with a high average true range (ATR), as strong risk management is crucial to mitigate rapid losses, which can occur within hours.
  • The SMH sector is also undercutting the 50-day line but remains above last week's lows, marking a critical support level.
  • For those who entered trades last week, it may be prudent to consider cutting losses if stocks breach last week's lows, while also focusing on protecting existing profits.
  • Our interpretation: The current market dynamics suggest a potential shift in risk sentiment, with the loss of key moving averages indicating a need for heightened vigilance in managing positions, particularly in light of the 30% declines observed in certain stocks.
INSTRUMENTS
MU
I 0.8 • C 0.9
Micron is directly discussed as experiencing significant declines.
WTI
I 0.6 • C 0.7
The geopolitical tensions mentioned may impact oil prices.
FULL
15:00–20:00
  • As oil prices increase, airline stocks in the jets sector are likely to decline due to heightened operational costs associated with fuel.
  • The speaker stresses the necessity of having an exit strategy as the jets sector nears a critical resistance level at 31.33, which could impact trading decisions.
  • The KIE insurance sector demonstrates resilience, rebounding from its 10-day moving average, in contrast to the broader weakness observed in technology stocks.
  • The regional banking ETF, KRE, is maintaining stability ahead of the upcoming earnings season, suggesting potential strength in that sector despite market volatility.
  • While certain sectors show better performance, the overall market remains volatile, indicating that maintaining cash reserves may be a prudent strategy during this choppy environment.
  • Our interpretation: The interplay between rising oil prices and airline stock performance highlights a potential shift in market dynamics, while the resilience in the KIE and KRE sectors suggests that investors may need to reassess their positions in light of sector-specific strengths and the broader economic landscape.
INSTRUMENTS
XOM
I 0.6 • C 0.8
The discussion on rising oil prices directly relates to ExxonMobil's operations.
BRENT
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The block discusses the impact of geopolitical tensions on oil prices, directly affecting Brent crude.
WTI
I 0.8 • C 0.9
The analysis of oil price dynamics directly relates to West Texas Intermediate crude.
FULL
20:00–25:00
  • Gas prices typically rise rapidly in response to increasing oil prices, while they tend to decline more slowly, which can enhance profit margins for companies like Murphy, USA.
  • Murphy, USA has received several recent upgrades, with its stock chart showing distinct performance compared to broader market indexes.
  • The stock price of Murphy, USA has recently surpassed the significant 600 level, a threshold it previously struggled to maintain.
  • HF Sinclair has demonstrated market strength by breaking through the upper end of its 5% buy zone, indicating robust performance.
  • HF Sinclair's revenue is largely generated from refining, benefiting from favorable crack spreads when crude oil prices are lower, enhancing its profit potential.
  • Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz may provide advantages to refining companies like HF Sinclair, as they could be less affected by geopolitical risks.
  • Our interpretation: The interplay between rising gas prices and oil costs, alongside geopolitical factors affecting refining companies, suggests a potential shift in market dynamics that could influence profit margins and stock performance in the energy sector.
INSTRUMENTS
GASOLINE
I 1.0 • C 1.0
Gas prices are mentioned in relation to oil price movements.
WTI
I 1.0 • C 1.0
The block discusses rising oil prices and their impact on refining companies.
FULL
25:00–30:00
  • Humana (HUM) is positioned in the managed care industry group, ranking ninth out of 145, indicating strong performance.
  • Humana's breakout has maintained its trend, particularly in relation to the 21-day moving average line.
  • The stock has recently paused after encountering short-term resistance around the 400 level, suggesting potential for further movement if it can hold this level.
  • Humana's relative strength line has shown improvement, indicating a steadier growth trajectory compared to other stocks with more volatile relative strength lines.
  • The current market environment is choppy, which poses risks of losing previously gained profits, highlighting the need for strategies to protect those gains.
  • Our interpretation: The combination of Humana's strong positioning and the choppy market conditions suggests that investors should closely monitor stock performance and be prepared to adjust their strategies to safeguard profits.
INFO
MARKET MEDIA2026-07-10
OPEN SOURCE
CHANNELInvestor's Business Daily
Chopped Up, But Set Up; Apple, Dell, Dutch Bros In Focus | Stock Market Today
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Chopped Up, But Set Up; Apple, Dell, Dutch Bros In Focus | Stock Market Today
Investor's Business Daily • 2026-07-10 21:20:33 UTC
The market is experiencing significant rotations, indicating a choppy trading environment.
FULL
00:00–05:00
  • The market is experiencing significant rotations, indicating a choppy trading environment.
  • The NASDAQ composite has undercut the 50-day moving average, raising concerns about potential declines towards the 200-day moving average.
  • Many AI leaders have fallen off, replaced by stocks that were previously below their 50-day moving average and not participating in the market rally.
  • The S&P 500 was up four-tenths of a percent for the day, while the Russell 2000 was down half a percent, indicating a divergence in market performance.
  • Mike describes a 'set up day' for the SPY, characterized by a small spread and a close near the highs, suggesting potential upward movement in the following trading session.
  • Our interpretation: The current market dynamics suggest a potential risk of further declines as key indices like the NASDAQ have breached critical moving averages, which could trigger a broader sell-off.
INSTRUMENTS
AAPL
I 0.8 • C 0.9
Apple is directly mentioned as a stock to watch.
SP500
I 0.6 • C 0.7
The S&P 500 is referenced in the context of market performance.
FULL
05:00–10:00
  • The speaker highlights that maintaining expectations on Fridays is crucial, as breaking them can lead to negative chart formations over the weekend.
  • Current market conditions suggest a potential upward movement just below the 76040 level, indicating a bullish sentiment.
  • The speaker compares current market dynamics to those of 1999, emphasizing that the initial three quarters were marked by erratic trading despite moments of apparent strength.
  • Emphasizing the need for adaptability, the speaker advises that trading decisions should reflect present market conditions rather than historical fears.
  • The analysis of SPY and VOO indicates that the current market digestion phase may precede a breakout.
  • Nvidia is identified as likely to rise towards the 236 level, reflecting a rotation among major technology stocks.
FULL
10:00–15:00
  • Money is flowing out of Microsoft, indicating a healthy market rotation, though this can be frustrating for investors.
  • Google has struggled to maintain its position above the 50-day moving average, suggesting weakening momentum despite its previous strength.
  • Heavy selling has been observed in CRM, contrasting with the more stable performance of Google and Apple, which have experienced sell-offs followed by base building.
  • The S&P and NASDAQ are significantly influenced by mega-cap stocks, and a decline in too many of these could negatively impact the overall market.
  • The upcoming earnings season is anticipated to introduce volatility, particularly for large-cap stocks like JP Morgan, which may see substantial movement based on earnings results.
  • Our interpretation: The current market dynamics suggest that as earnings season approaches, increased volatility is likely, especially for mega-cap stocks. Significant declines in these stocks could lead to broader market weakness, affecting indices like the S&P and NASDAQ.
INSTRUMENTS
GOOGL
I 1.0 • C 1.0
Google is mentioned as struggling to maintain its position above the 50-day moving average.
JPM
I 1.0 • C 1.0
JP Morgan is highlighted as a large-cap stock that may see substantial movement based on earnings results.
MSFT
I 1.0 • C 1.0
Microsoft is directly discussed as experiencing money flow out.
NASDAQ100
I 1.0 • C 1.0
The NASDAQ is mentioned as significantly influenced by mega-cap stocks.
SP500
I 1.0 • C 1.0
The S&P index is mentioned as being influenced by mega-cap stocks.
FULL
15:00–20:00
  • RSP indicates a more democratic approach in the market, with the average S&P 500 stock still trending above the 21-day moving average.
  • The steady distance between the 21-day and 50-day moving averages suggests a healthy uptrend in the market.
  • Sandisk has been under distribution over the past month, remaining relatively close to its highs, which reflects uncertainty in its valuation.
  • The speaker draws a comparison between Sandisk's current market behavior and Qualcomm's performance in 1999, noting similar patterns of volatility.
  • Analyzing stocks on a weekly basis can provide clearer insights compared to daily fluctuations.
FULL
20:00–25:00
  • The market can experience distribution even as prices rise, suggesting potential risks for investors.
  • Qualcomm was identified as a dominant market leader in 1999, significantly shaping the market's overall tone during that time.
  • The importance of waiting for a proper setup before entering trades is emphasized, particularly regarding Sandisk and Micron, which are currently not at buy points.
  • SK Hynix's listing on American exchanges may facilitate easier access for investors, though its impact on domestic trading for smaller investors remains uncertain.
  • While retail investors typically trade domestically, larger institutional players retain the flexibility to purchase in foreign markets, potentially influencing market dynamics.
  • Our interpretation: The ongoing distribution in the market, coupled with the entry of foreign firms like SK Hynix, highlights a divergence in trading strategies between retail and institutional investors, which could affect liquidity and pricing in the domestic market.
INSTRUMENTS
QCOM
I 0.8 • C 1.0
Qualcomm is discussed as a dominant market leader, indicating its relevance to market dynamics.
MU
I 0.7 • C 1.0
Micron is mentioned in the context of trading strategies and market setups.
FULL
25:00–30:00
  • The Russell 2000 is currently trending above its 50-day moving average but has struggled to maintain its lows, indicating volatility.
  • The host highlights the importance of selecting appropriate moving averages for different stocks, noting that the 21-day moving average may not be suitable for the Russell 2000.
  • There is a consideration to add a 34-day exponential moving average for better analysis of stock trends.
  • Despite being a long-time user, the speaker expresses a negative bias towards Apple, stating that the company has not introduced significant innovations since the passing of Steve Jobs.
  • The discussion points out that large institutional investors face limitations in trading flexibility compared to retail investors, who can more easily adjust their positions.
FULL
30:00–35:00
  • Dell's setup resembles a high tight flag, indicating a rapid advance with minimal pullback.
  • The concept of a flag pattern should be visually identified rather than focusing on specific metrics.
  • Dell is maintaining its position in a market where many stocks are declining, suggesting strong institutional support.
  • The speaker has a positive outlook on Dell's earnings and estimates, reflecting confidence in its future performance.
  • Dutch Brothers is compared to In-N-Out Burger, emphasizing its small footprint and drive-through model as a competitive strategy.
FULL
35:00–40:00
  • Dutch Bros has not participated in recent market movements, showing a poor chart appearance that warrants caution.
  • If Dutch Bros fails to maintain its position above today's low, the speaker plans to exit their position and seek a new entry.
  • Non-AI stocks like Cheesecake Factory and Crocs are attracting investment despite their less favorable chart patterns.
  • The hack sector has been a standout area, even amidst market volatility, although the speaker expresses frustration with its performance.
FULL
40:00–45:00
  • The speaker stresses the importance of commonly used moving averages, specifically the 10-day, 50-day, and 200-day simple moving averages, to gauge market behavior.
  • Interest in Fibonacci numbers and the golden ratio is highlighted, suggesting their potential benefits for traders.
  • The need to identify new channels following significant market corrections, proposing June 26 as a potential starting point for analysis.
FULL
45:00–50:00
  • The current price is at a critical level, with the green line indicating the high from June 15th, which must be surpassed for a healthy market outlook.
  • A drop below the June 9th low would signal lower lows and could lead to a bear market scenario.
  • Establishing a final line in the sand on the chart is crucial, as falling below the 200-day moving average would suggest significant market distress.
FULL
50:00–55:00
  • The current market environment is marked by volatility, with sectors such as hack and xbi displaying inconsistent performance.
  • The speaker stresses the need to avoid letting headlines dictate investment choices, as they are frequently changing.
  • The iwm appears healthy, while the rsp has experienced normal fluctuations but remains within expected trading patterns.
  • Current market conditions may suggest the onset of a new trend, indicating that investors are not late to the market.
  • Our interpretation: The ongoing volatility in sectors like travel and energy, influenced by geopolitical headlines, may lead to increased uncertainty in equity markets. This could prompt a reassessment of risk across asset classes, particularly if oil prices react to geopolitical tensions, potentially impacting inflation expectations and central bank policies.
INSTRUMENTS
NASDAQ100
I 0.5 • C 0.7
The nasdaq was referenced in the context of market performance and investor sentiment.
AUDUSD
I 0.5 • C 0.7
The discussion on geopolitical tensions and oil volatility suggests a potential impact on inflation expectations.
BRENT
I 0.5 • C 0.7
The mention of oil volatility due to geopolitical tensions suggests a direct link to commodity prices.
EURUSD
I 0.5 • C 0.7
The discussion on geopolitical tensions and oil volatility suggests a potential impact on inflation expectations.
GBPUSD
I 0.5 • C 0.7
The discussion on geopolitical tensions and oil volatility suggests a potential impact on inflation expectations.
NZDUSD
I 0.5 • C 0.7
The discussion on geopolitical tensions and oil volatility suggests a potential impact on inflation expectations.
USDCAD
I 0.5 • C 0.7
The discussion on geopolitical tensions and oil volatility suggests a potential impact on inflation expectations.
USDCHF
I 0.5 • C 0.7
The discussion on geopolitical tensions and oil volatility suggests a potential impact on inflation expectations.
USDDKK
I 0.5 • C 0.7
The discussion on geopolitical tensions and oil volatility suggests a potential impact on inflation expectations.
USDJPY
I 0.5 • C 0.7
The discussion on geopolitical tensions and oil volatility suggests a potential impact on inflation expectations.
USDNOK
I 0.5 • C 0.7
The discussion on geopolitical tensions and oil volatility suggests a potential impact on inflation expectations.
USDPLN
I 0.5 • C 0.7
The discussion on geopolitical tensions and oil volatility suggests a potential impact on inflation expectations.
FULL
55:00–60:00
  • The speaker emphasizes the importance of trading the S&P 500, indicating favorable conditions for heavier trading positions.
  • A position in UPRO is noted as a strategy to capitalize on the S&P's performance amidst sector rotation.
  • The QQQ is suggested to be viewed as a sector due to its tech focus, contrasting with the broader SPY.
  • Maintaining a core position in SPY or similar instruments is advised to mitigate risks from sector-specific volatility.
  • While travel stocks face headline risks, companies like Airbnb are still positioned well for growth.
  • Our interpretation: The current market environment, characterized by sector rotation and headline risks, suggests that focusing on broad market indices like the S&P 500 may provide a more stable foundation for capitalizing on potential upward movements while managing risks associated with more volatile sectors.
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